OGN

Organon & Co.

44
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

OGN's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 11% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 8.2%. Its PE of 18x looks cheaper than it really is, because one-off gains boosted its recent earnings. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

OGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

OGN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

OGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.7x$2.88-79%
Forward4x$13.90—
Fair5.6x$4.34-69%
Expensive7.6x$5.86-58%
Current18x$13.90—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OGN's PE is in its expensive range at 18x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.0x, in its cheap range.

OGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OGN's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

OGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$19.60
Downside-32%$9.46

Calculated from the latest close: $13.90 on Nov 12.

OGN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +41% against −32%.

OGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.99Q1 2024: $4.08Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $5.03Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.69Q3 2025: $1.92Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $0.78Q3 2026: $0.77Forward: $3.49
Q4 2023: $3.99Q1 2024: $4.08Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $5.03Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.69Q3 2025: $1.92Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $0.78Q3 2026: $0.77Forward: $3.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.49+353%
Q3 2026$0.77-60%
Q2 2026$0.78-71%
Q1 2026$0.94-67%
Q4 2025$0.72-78%
Q3 2025$1.92-62%
Q2 2025$2.69-31%
Q1 2025$2.88-29%
Q4 2024$3.33-17%

OGN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.77 over the past year, against $8.53 in late 2020. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

OGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B-1.7%
Q2 2026$1.6B-2.3%
Q1 2026$1.5B-3.5%
Q4 2025$1.5B-5.3%
Q3 2025$1.6B+1.3%
Q2 2025$1.6B-0.8%
Q1 2025$1.5B-6.7%
Q4 2024$1.6B-0.4%

OGN's revenue has held roughly level: $1.6B last quarter, down 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

OGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $96MQ1 2026: $188MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $326M
Q4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $96MQ1 2026: $188MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $326M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$326M+50%
Q2 2026$65M-64%
Q1 2026$188M+337%
Q4 2025$96M-71%
Q3 2025$218M+120%
Q2 2025$181M-40%
Q1 2025$43M+43%
Q4 2024$335M+5.3%

OGN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $675M over the past year.

OGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 256MQ1 2024: 258MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 260MQ4 2024: 259MQ1 2025: 261MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 261MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 270MQ3 2026: 272M
Q4 2023: 256MQ1 2024: 258MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 260MQ4 2024: 259MQ1 2025: 261MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 261MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 270MQ3 2026: 272M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.9M shares
1 year+4.5%+11.7M shares
3 years+6.3%+16M shares
5 years+7.2%+18.2M shares
Available history+7.6%+19.3M shares

OGN has 272M diluted shares, up 4.5% from a year ago.

OGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 10.2xQ2 2024: 10.2xQ3 2024: 8.8xQ4 2024: 8.7xQ1 2025: 10.4xQ2 2025: 10.3xQ3 2025: 9.6xQ4 2025: 13.9xQ1 2026: 10.7xQ2 2026: 11.4xQ3 2026: 10.8x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 10.2xQ2 2024: 10.2xQ3 2024: 8.8xQ4 2024: 8.7xQ1 2025: 10.4xQ2 2025: 10.3xQ3 2025: 9.6xQ4 2025: 13.9xQ1 2026: 10.7xQ2 2026: 11.4xQ3 2026: 10.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.8xHigh
Q2 202611.4xHigh
Q1 202610.7xHigh
Q4 202513.9xHigh
Q3 20259.6xHigh
Q2 202510.3xHigh
Q1 202510.4xHigh
Q4 20248.7xHigh

OGN's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.6 years a year ago.

OGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic99.0Overbought

OGN's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 99 (overbought).

OGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOGNSector medianRelative
PE18x26x30% below
PE %1003763 pts above

OGN is trading at 18x earnings, a 30% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

OGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.80.7% above
20 week MA$13.71.5% above
50 week MA$11.125% above
100 week MA$11.224% above
200 week MA$15.49.4% below

OGN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.4% below its 200-week average.

OGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$33.3$30.2-9.1%
2022$30.2$27.9-7.6%
2023$27.9$14.4-48%
2024$14.4$15.1+4.4%
2025$15.1$7.18-52%
2026 YTD$7.18$13.9+94%

OGN is up 94% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous five years.

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