NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO has the edge over OCUL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.
OCUL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
OCUL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
OCUL's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
OCUL PE Valuation
OCUL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OCUL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect OCUL's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
OCUL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.44 | -$0.04 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.40 | -$0.16 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.44 | -$0.33 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.42 | -$0.20 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.40 | -$0.31 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.24 | -$0.12 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.11 | +$0.01 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.22 | -$0.20 |
OCUL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.44 per share over the past year, against $2.56 at its worst in late 2020.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OCUL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9M | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.5M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.8M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.3M | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.5M | -5.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.5M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.7M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.1M | +15% |
OCUL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $13M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -760% | -288 points |
| Q2 2026 | -609% | -107 points |
| Q1 2026 | -865% | -268 points |
| Q4 2025 | -526% | -230 points |
| Q3 2025 | -472% | -174 points |
| Q2 2025 | -503% | -237 points |
| Q1 2025 | -597% | -384 points |
| Q4 2024 | -296% | -161 points |
OCUL's operating margin was −760% last quarter, down 288 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
OCUL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$68.7M | -$11.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$70.6M | -$14.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$70.7M | -$24.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$57.1M | -$17.5M |
| Q3 2025 | -$56.7M | -$20.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$56.5M | -$30.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.6M | -$12.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$39.6M | -$16.7M |
OCUL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$267M over the past year, against −$199M the year before.
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
OCUL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +563K shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +41.6M shares |
| 3 years | +189% | +147M shares |
| 5 years | +175% | +143M shares |
| Available history | +398% | +180M shares |
OCUL has 226M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
OCUL Net Leverage
OCUL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
OCUL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.7 | Oversold |
OCUL's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.
OCUL PE vs Healthcare Sector
OCUL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
OCUL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.17 | 12% below |
| 20 week MA | $8.73 | 28% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.37 | 33% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.49 | 34% below |
| 200 week MA | $7.82 | 20% below |
OCUL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has the edge over OCUL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
OCUL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.19 | $22.1 | +427% |
| 2021 | $22.1 | $7.22 | -67% |
| 2022 | $7.22 | $2.67 | -63% |
| 2023 | $2.67 | $4.46 | +67% |
| 2024 | $4.46 | $8.44 | +89% |
| 2025 | $8.44 | $12.6 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.6 | $6.28 | -50% |
OCUL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +427% in 2020 to −67% in 2021. It's down 50% so far in 2026.