OCUL

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.

36
Fundamentals19/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

OCUL lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to grow.

OCUL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

OCUL's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OCUL PE Valuation

OCUL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OCUL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OCUL's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

OCUL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$9.89
Downside-36%$3.99

Calculated from the latest close: $6.28 on Nov 12.

OCUL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +57% against −36%.

OCUL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.22Q1 2025: $-1.11Q2 2025: $-1.24Q3 2025: $-1.40Q4 2025: $-1.42Q1 2026: $-1.44Q2 2026: $-1.40Q3 2026: $-1.44
Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.12Q2 2024: $-1.12Q3 2024: $-1.09Q4 2024: $-1.22Q1 2025: $-1.11Q2 2025: $-1.24Q3 2025: $-1.40Q4 2025: $-1.42Q1 2026: $-1.44Q2 2026: $-1.40Q3 2026: $-1.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.44-$0.04
Q2 2026-$1.40-$0.16
Q1 2026-$1.44-$0.33
Q4 2025-$1.42-$0.20
Q3 2025-$1.40-$0.31
Q2 2025-$1.24-$0.12
Q1 2025-$1.11+$0.01
Q4 2024-$1.22-$0.20

OCUL is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.44 per share over the past year, against $2.56 at its worst in late 2020.

OCUL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $13M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $13MQ3 2026: $13M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9M-11%
Q2 2026$13.5M+0.1%
Q1 2026$10.8M+0.8%
Q4 2025$13.3M-22%
Q3 2025$14.5M-5.7%
Q2 2025$13.5M-18%
Q1 2025$10.7M-28%
Q4 2024$17.1M+15%

OCUL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $13M last quarter, down 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

OCUL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: −$37MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$56MQ3 2025: −$57MQ4 2025: −$57MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$71MQ3 2026: −$69M
Q4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$26MQ3 2024: −$37MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$56MQ3 2025: −$57MQ4 2025: −$57MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$71MQ3 2026: −$69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$68.7M-$11.9M
Q2 2026-$70.6M-$14.2M
Q1 2026-$70.7M-$24.1M
Q4 2025-$57.1M-$17.5M
Q3 2025-$56.7M-$20.1M
Q2 2025-$56.5M-$30.9M
Q1 2025-$46.6M-$12.5M
Q4 2024-$39.6M-$16.7M

OCUL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$267M over the past year, against −$199M the year before.

OCUL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 187MQ1 2026: 224MQ2 2026: 225MQ3 2026: 226M
Q1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 166MQ3 2024: 167MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 169MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 187MQ1 2026: 224MQ2 2026: 225MQ3 2026: 226M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+563K shares
1 year+23%+41.6M shares
3 years+189%+147M shares
5 years+175%+143M shares
Available history+398%+180M shares

OCUL has 226M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

OCUL Net Leverage

OCUL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OCUL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.5Neutral
Stochastic10.7Oversold

OCUL's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

OCUL PE vs Healthcare Sector

OCUL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OCUL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.1712% below
20 week MA$8.7328% below
50 week MA$9.3733% below
100 week MA$9.4934% below
200 week MA$7.8220% below

OCUL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

OCUL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.19$22.1+427%
2021$22.1$7.22-67%
2022$7.22$2.67-63%
2023$2.67$4.46+67%
2024$4.46$8.44+89%
2025$8.44$12.6+49%
2026 YTD$12.6$6.28-50%

OCUL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +427% in 2020 to −67% in 2021. It's down 50% so far in 2026.

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