NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over YMM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
YMM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
YMM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
YMM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
YMM PE Valuation
YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
YMM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
YMM has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 125% for NVDA versus YMM up 60%.
YMM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.07 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | +50% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.06 | +50% |
| Q2 2024 | $0.05 | +67% |
| Q1 2024 | $0.05 | +150% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.04 | +300% |
| Q3 2023 | $0.04 | +$0.06 |
YMM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.08 over the past year, up 60% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over YMM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over YMM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
YMM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $506M | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $427.5M | +5.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $479.1M | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $486.1M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $405.2M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $476.4M | +32% |
| Q3 2024 | $454.9M | +34% |
YMM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $506M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | -9.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 45% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +16 points |
| Q3 2024 | 25% | +14 points |
YMM's operating margin was 44% last quarter, up 8.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over YMM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
YMM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $322.7M | +$322.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $234.4M | +$234.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
YMM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2022: $557M over the past year, against $0 the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over YMM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
YMM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -3.2M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -7M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -26.7M shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -57.3M shares |
| Available history | -5.2% | -57.3M shares |
YMM has 1B diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
YMM hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
YMM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
YMM has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
YMM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.8 | Neutral |
YMM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
YMM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | YMM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
YMM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.49 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.69 | 2.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.06 | 6.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.5 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.02 | 5.9% below |
YMM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.9% below its 200-week average.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA has the edge over YMM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
YMM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19.7 | $8.30 | -58% |
| 2022 | $8.30 | $8.14 | -1.9% |
| 2023 | $8.14 | $7.01 | -14% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $11.0 | +56% |
| 2025 | $11.0 | $11.2 | +1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.2 | $8.49 | -24% |
YMM has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.