NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over TSEM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSEM

Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

65
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSEM's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TSEM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

TSEM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over TSEM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSEM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$27.61-83%
Forward25x$158—
Fair26x$66.20-58%
Expensive42x$106-33%
Current62x$158—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSEM's PE is in its expensive range at 62x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

TSEM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TSEM has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSEM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSEM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+99%$313.86
Downside-16%$131.91

Calculated from the latest close: $157.86 on Nov 12.

TSEM trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over TSEM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSEM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.34+151%
Q2 2026$2.53+45%
Q1 2026$2.15+19%
Q4 2025$1.93+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.72-7%
Q2 2025$1.74-61%
Q1 2025$1.81-59%
Q4 2024$1.86-60%
Q3 2024$1.85-62%

TSEM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.53 over the past year, against $4.92 in late 2023.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over TSEM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TSEM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$460.1M+24%
Q1 2026$413.6M+15%
Q4 2025$440.2M+14%
Q3 2025$395.7M+6.8%
Q2 2025$372.1M+5.9%
Q1 2025$358.2M+9.5%
Q4 2024$387.2M+10%
Q3 2024$370.5M+3.4%

TSEM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $460M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over TSEM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSEM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$9.6M-181%
Q1 2026$353.6M+$371.1M
Q4 2025-$75.3M-2680%
Q3 2025$35.9M+$38.8M
Q2 2025$11.9M+2436%
Q1 2025-$17.5M-245%
Q4 2024$2.9M+$25.6M
Q3 2024-$2.9M-101%

TSEM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $305M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over TSEM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSEM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+85K shares
1 year+1%+1.1M shares
3 years+2.9%+3.2M shares
5 years+4.4%+4.8M shares
Available history+6.3%+6.8M shares

TSEM has 114M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

TSEM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TSEM has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

TSEM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic9.7Oversold

TSEM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over TSEM on valuation relative to its sector.

TSEM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSEMSector medianRelative
PE62x28x124% above
PE %873552 pts above

TSEM is trading at 62x earnings, a 124% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

TSEM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.617% below
20 week MA$213.026% below
50 week MA$191.317% below
100 week MA$122.329% above
200 week MA$79.499% above

TSEM has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

TSEM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.3$25.4+4.7%
2021$25.4$38.4+51%
2022$38.4$43.9+14%
2023$43.9$30.5-31%
2024$30.5$52.1+71%
2025$52.1$121.6+134%
2026 YTD$121.6$157.9+30%

TSEM has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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