TSEM

Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

65
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSEM's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 62x earnings, more than twice its usual 26x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

TSEM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

TSEM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSEM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$27.61-83%
Forward25x$158—
Fair26x$66.20-58%
Expensive42x$106-33%
Current62x$158—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSEM's PE is in its expensive range at 62x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TSEM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSEM, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSEM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+99%$313.86
Downside-16%$131.91

Calculated from the latest close: $157.86 on Nov 12.

TSEM's one-year upside scenario is about six times its downside: +99% against −16%.

TSEM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.34+151%
Q2 2026$2.53+45%
Q1 2026$2.15+19%
Q4 2025$1.93+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.72-7%
Q2 2025$1.74-61%
Q1 2025$1.81-59%
Q4 2024$1.86-60%
Q3 2024$1.85-62%

TSEM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.53 over the past year, against $4.92 in late 2023.

TSEM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$460.1M+24%
Q1 2026$413.6M+15%
Q4 2025$440.2M+14%
Q3 2025$395.7M+6.8%
Q2 2025$372.1M+5.9%
Q1 2025$358.2M+9.5%
Q4 2024$387.2M+10%
Q3 2024$370.5M+3.4%

TSEM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $460M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSEM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$9.6M-181%
Q1 2026$353.6M+$371.1M
Q4 2025-$75.3M-2680%
Q3 2025$35.9M+$38.8M
Q2 2025$11.9M+2436%
Q1 2025-$17.5M-245%
Q4 2024$2.9M+$25.6M
Q3 2024-$2.9M-101%

TSEM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $305M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

TSEM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+85K shares
1 year+1%+1.1M shares
3 years+2.9%+3.2M shares
5 years+4.4%+4.8M shares
Available history+6.3%+6.8M shares

TSEM has 114M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

TSEM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TSEM has more cash than debt.

TSEM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic9.7Oversold

TSEM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TSEM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSEMSector medianRelative
PE62x28x124% above
PE %873552 pts above

TSEM is trading at 62x earnings, a 124% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TSEM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.617% below
20 week MA$213.026% below
50 week MA$191.317% below
100 week MA$122.329% above
200 week MA$79.499% above

TSEM has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 99% above its 200-week average.

TSEM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.3$25.4+4.7%
2021$25.4$38.4+51%
2022$38.4$43.9+14%
2023$43.9$30.5-31%
2024$30.5$52.1+71%
2025$52.1$121.6+134%
2026 YTD$121.6$157.9+30%

TSEM has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 30% so far in 2026.

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