NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over SAIL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SAIL

SailPoint, Inc.

61
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

SAIL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SAIL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Strong
Strong

SAIL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

SAIL PE Valuation

SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

SAIL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

SAIL has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAIL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SAIL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$33.78
Downside-37%$12.91

Calculated from the latest close: $20.58 on Nov 12.

SAIL trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 125% for NVDA versus SAIL down 133%.

SAIL Earnings Per Share

Q2 2022: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.38
Q2 2022: $-0.98Q4 2024: $-0.41Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.25Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38—
Q2 2022-$0.98-$0.57
Q1 2022-$0.85-$0.65
Q4 2021-$0.67-$0.55
Q3 2021-$0.61-$0.60
Q2 2021-$0.41-1125%
Q1 2021-$0.20-$0.11
Q4 2020-$0.12-$0.02
Q3 2020-$0.01+$0.01

SAIL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $0.98 at its worst in mid-2022.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over SAIL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SAIL Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2022: $134MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $295MQ2 2026: $280MQ3 2026: $309M
Q2 2022: $134MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $282MQ1 2026: $295MQ2 2026: $280MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$308.8M+17%
Q2 2026$280.1M+22%
Q1 2026$294.6M+23%
Q4 2025$281.9M+20%
Q3 2025$264.4M+33%
Q2 2025$230.5M+23%
Q1 2025$240.1M+18%
Q2 2022$134.3M+31%

SAIL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2019: $309M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over SAIL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAIL Free Cash Flow

Q2 2022: −$18MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$57MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $43M
Q2 2022: −$18MQ1 2024: −$55MQ2 2024: −$58MQ3 2024: −$57MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: −$99MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43M-12%
Q2 2026$37.3M+$136.3M
Q1 2026$62.1M+425%
Q4 2025$52.5M+$69.3M
Q3 2025$49M+$105.5M
Q2 2025-$99M-$40.5M
Q1 2025$11.8M+$66.7M
Q2 2022-$18.4M-$4.8M

SAIL's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $195M over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over SAIL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SAIL Total Shares

Q2 2022: 94MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 182MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 545MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 556MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 565MQ3 2026: 568M
Q2 2022: 94MQ1 2024: 138MQ2 2024: 182MQ3 2024: 545MQ4 2024: 545MQ2 2025: 500MQ3 2025: 556MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 544MQ2 2026: 565MQ3 2026: 568M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+3.6M shares
1 year+2.2%+12.4M shares
3 years+513%+475M shares
5 years+539%+479M shares
Available history+559%+482M shares

SAIL has 568M diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

SAIL Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -7.4xQ2 2026: -41.3x
Q1 2025: 5.2xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -7.4xQ2 2026: -41.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-41.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 20255.2xHigh
Q1 2021-45.8xNet Cash
Q4 2020-26.6xNet Cash
Q3 2020-17.3xNet Cash

SAIL has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

SAIL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic62.8Neutral

SAIL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SAIL PE vs Technology Sector

SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

SAIL has stronger trend alignment. NVDA is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SAIL above 3 of 3.

SAIL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.40.9% above
20 week MA$18.611% above
50 week MA$16.823% above

SAIL is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 50-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

SAIL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$24.6$21.2-14%
2026 YTD$21.2$20.6-2.7%

SAIL has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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