NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over SAIC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation
SAIC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SAIC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
SAIC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA has the edge over SAIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SAIC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 13x | $114 | -25% |
| Forward | 14x | $151 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $157 | +3.7% |
| Current | 18x | $151 | — |
| Expensive | 24x | $202 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SAIC's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
SAIC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SAIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over SAIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SAIC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.73 | +25% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.56 | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.89 | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.70 | +7.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.80 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.24 | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.11 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.17 | -19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.96 | -37% |
SAIC earned $8.56 per share over the past year, up 3.9% from the year before.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over SAIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over SAIC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SAIC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.9B | +6.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +1.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | -4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | -5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.8B | -2.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +1.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +4.3% |
SAIC's revenue grew through 2020 and has held roughly level since: $1.9B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.6% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9% | -1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | +3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1% | +0.5 points |
SAIC's operating margin was 8.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over SAIC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SAIC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $131M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $118M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $250M | +150% |
| Q4 2025 | $120M | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $115M | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $92M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $100M | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $134M | +38% |
SAIC's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $619M over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
SAIC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.7% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | -8.5% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -11.1M shares |
| 5 years | -27% | -15.6M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -15.5M shares |
SAIC has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $98M |
| Q2 2026 | $188M |
| Q1 2026 | $98M |
| Q4 2025 | $95M |
| Q3 2025 | $110M |
| Q2 2025 | $142M |
| Q1 2025 | $133M |
| Q4 2024 | $121M |
SAIC spent $479M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 5.3% from the year before.
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA has the edge over SAIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SAIC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
SAIC's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SAIC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.4 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 86.2 | Overbought |
SAIC's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SAIC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SAIC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 28x | 37% below |
| PE % | 45 | 35 | 10 pts above |
SAIC has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.
SAIC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $140.1 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $129.7 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $111.9 | 35% above |
| 100 week MA | $109.9 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $115.1 | 31% above |
SAIC has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.
SAIC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $88.3 | $96.8 | +9.7% |
| 2021 | $96.8 | $82.4 | -15% |
| 2022 | $82.4 | $109.5 | +33% |
| 2023 | $109.5 | $124.3 | +14% |
| 2024 | $124.3 | $111.1 | -11% |
| 2025 | $111.1 | $102.7 | -7.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.7 | $151.2 | +47% |
SAIC has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.