SAIC

Science Applications International Corporation

59
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

SAIC's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 40%, but revenue fell 0.8%. At 18x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SAIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

SAIC's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

SAIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$114-25%
Forward14x$151—
Fair18x$157+3.7%
Current18x$151—
Expensive24x$202+34%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAIC's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SAIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SAIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SAIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$180.53
Downside-21%$118.80

Calculated from the latest close: $151.24 on Nov 12.

SAIC's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +19% against −21%.

SAIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.45Q1 2024: $8.88Q2 2024: $8.57Q3 2024: $5.59Q4 2024: $5.96Q1 2025: $7.17Q2 2025: $7.11Q3 2025: $8.24Q4 2025: $7.80Q1 2026: $7.70Q2 2026: $8.89Q3 2026: $8.56Forward: $10.73
Q4 2023: $9.45Q1 2024: $8.88Q2 2024: $8.57Q3 2024: $5.59Q4 2024: $5.96Q1 2025: $7.17Q2 2025: $7.11Q3 2025: $8.24Q4 2025: $7.80Q1 2026: $7.70Q2 2026: $8.89Q3 2026: $8.56Forward: $10.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.73+25%
Q3 2026$8.56+3.9%
Q2 2026$8.89+25%
Q1 2026$7.70+7.4%
Q4 2025$7.80+31%
Q3 2025$8.24+47%
Q2 2025$7.11-17%
Q1 2025$7.17-19%
Q4 2024$5.96-37%

SAIC earned $8.56 per share over the past year, up 3.9% from the year before.

SAIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B+6.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+1.5%
Q1 2026$1.8B-4.8%
Q4 2025$1.9B-5.6%
Q3 2025$1.8B-2.7%
Q2 2025$1.9B+1.6%
Q1 2025$1.8B+5.8%
Q4 2024$2B+4.3%

SAIC's revenue grew through 2020 and has held roughly level since: $1.9B last quarter, up 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $92MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: $97MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $92MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $250MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131M+14%
Q2 2026$118M+28%
Q1 2026$250M+150%
Q4 2025$120M-10%
Q3 2025$115M-13%
Q2 2025$92M0%
Q1 2025$100M+92%
Q4 2024$134M+38%

SAIC's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $619M over the past year, up 40% from the year before.

SAIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-1.2M shares
1 year-8.5%-4M shares
3 years-21%-11.1M shares
5 years-27%-15.6M shares
Available history-27%-15.5M shares

SAIC has 43M diluted shares, down 8.5% from a year ago, with $479M in buybacks over the past year.

SAIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.4xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.4xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

SAIC's net debt is about 3.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SAIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI70.4Overbought
Stochastic86.2Overbought

SAIC's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

SAIC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSAICSector medianRelative
PE18x28x37% below
PE %453510 pts above

SAIC is trading at 18x earnings, a 37% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SAIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$140.18% above
20 week MA$129.717% above
50 week MA$111.935% above
100 week MA$109.938% above
200 week MA$115.131% above

SAIC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 31% above its 200-week average.

SAIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.3$96.8+9.7%
2021$96.8$82.4-15%
2022$82.4$109.5+33%
2023$109.5$124.3+14%
2024$124.3$111.1-11%
2025$111.1$102.7-7.6%
2026 YTD$102.7$151.2+47%

SAIC is up 47% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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