NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over PAGS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PAGS

PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

50
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PAGS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PAGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Weak

PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over PAGS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PAGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.8x$7.82—
Cheap7.1x$9.52+22%
Fair12x$16.50+111%
Expensive51x$67.68+766%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAGS's PE is 5.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

PAGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAGS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PAGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$11.47
Downside-32%$5.33

Calculated from the latest close: $7.82 on Nov 12.

PAGS trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over PAGS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PAGS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.34+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.31+6.5%
Q4 2025$1.28+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.31+17%
Q2 2025$1.27+21%
Q1 2025$1.23+26%
Q4 2024$1.19+31%
Q3 2024$1.12+30%

PAGS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.34 over the past year, up 5.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over PAGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAGS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$873.8M-0.2%
Q1 2026$840.1M-0.4%
Q4 2025$949.7M+6%
Q3 2025$880.1M+4.5%
Q2 2025$875.7M+11%
Q1 2025$843.5M+12%
Q4 2024$895.7M+17%
Q3 2024$842.3M+19%

PAGS's revenue has held roughly level: $874M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over PAGS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PAGS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$139.8M-54%
Q1 2026$39.4M-61%
Q4 2025-$579.5M-$433.3M
Q3 2025$299M+$527.2M
Q2 2025$305.5M+$1.2B
Q1 2025$101.6M-70%
Q4 2024-$146.2M-314%
Q3 2024-$228.1M-387%

PAGS's free cash flow was −$101M over the past year, against $33M the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

PAGS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.4M shares
1 year-7.1%-21.2M shares
3 years-14%-46M shares
5 years-15%-50.9M shares
Available history-15%-51.1M shares

PAGS has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over PAGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAGS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20245.1xHigh

PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

PAGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PAGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAGSSector medianRelative
PE5.8x28x79% below
PE %13534 pts below

PAGS has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over PAGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PAGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3817% below
20 week MA$9.2916% below
50 week MA$9.6919% below
100 week MA$9.1114% below
200 week MA$9.7620% below

PAGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over PAGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PAGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$53.8+56%
2021$53.8$26.7-50%
2022$26.7$8.62-68%
2023$8.62$12.5+45%
2024$12.5$6.38-49%
2025$6.38$9.77+53%
2026 YTD$9.77$7.82-20%

PAGS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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