NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over NVMI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NVMI

Nova Ltd.

64
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NVMI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NVMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

NVMI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over NVMI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$328—
Cheap26x$211-36%
Fair39x$313-4.5%
Current41x$328—
Expensive54x$433+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVMI's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

NVMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

NVMI has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVMI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$528.27
Downside-20%$262.63

Calculated from the latest close: $327.64 on Nov 12.

NVMI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over NVMI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVMI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.34+66%
Q2 2026$8.05+9.5%
Q1 2026$7.99+21%
Q4 2025$8.01+40%
Q3 2025$7.65+43%
Q2 2025$7.35+53%
Q1 2025$6.61+53%
Q4 2024$5.73+34%
Q3 2024$5.34+27%

NVMI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.05 over the past year, up 9.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over NVMI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NVMI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$255M+16%
Q1 2026$235.3M+10%
Q4 2025$222.6M+14%
Q3 2025$224.6M+25%
Q2 2025$220M+40%
Q1 2025$213.4M+50%
Q4 2024$194.8M+45%
Q3 2024$179M+39%

NVMI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $255M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over NVMI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVMI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$38.4M-10%
Q1 2026$36M-40%
Q4 2025$48.4M-21%
Q3 2025$66.9M+55%
Q2 2025$42.9M-26%
Q1 2025$59.7M+5.3%
Q4 2024$61M+191%
Q3 2024$43.1M-0.2%

NVMI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $190M over the past year, down 8.2% from the year before.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over NVMI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVMI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+7.5%+2.4M shares
3 years+7.9%+2.5M shares
5 years+16%+4.6M shares
Available history+21%+6M shares

NVMI has 34M diluted shares, up 7.5% from a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over NVMI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVMI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 20240.4xVery low

NVMI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

NVMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

NVMI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over NVMI on valuation relative to its sector.

NVMI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVMISector medianRelative
PE41x28x46% above
PE %563521 pts above

NVMI is trading at 41x earnings, a 46% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

NVMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$337.93% below
20 week MA$377.613% below
50 week MA$422.923% below
100 week MA$336.02.5% below
200 week MA$242.935% above

NVMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 35% above its 200-week average.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

NVMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.1$70.3+85%
2021$70.3$137.0+95%
2022$137.0$81.7-40%
2023$81.7$137.4+68%
2024$137.4$200.1+46%
2025$200.1$330.9+65%
2026 YTD$330.9$327.6-1%

NVMI has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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