NVMI

Nova Ltd.

64
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

NVMI's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and it turned 20% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 41x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 39x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

NVMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

NVMI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NVMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$328—
Cheap26x$211-36%
Fair39x$313-4.5%
Current41x$328—
Expensive54x$433+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVMI's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVMI, with profitability improving.

NVMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$528.27
Downside-20%$262.63

Calculated from the latest close: $327.64 on Nov 12.

NVMI's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +61% against −20%.

NVMI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
Q3 2023: $4.22Q4 2023: $4.27Q1 2024: $4.33Q2 2024: $4.79Q3 2024: $5.34Q4 2024: $5.73Q1 2025: $6.61Q2 2025: $7.35Q3 2025: $7.65Q4 2025: $8.01Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.05Forward: $13.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.34+66%
Q2 2026$8.05+9.5%
Q1 2026$7.99+21%
Q4 2025$8.01+40%
Q3 2025$7.65+43%
Q2 2025$7.35+53%
Q1 2025$6.61+53%
Q4 2024$5.73+34%
Q3 2024$5.34+27%

NVMI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.05 over the past year, up 9.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

NVMI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
Q3 2023: $129MQ4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $142MQ2 2024: $157MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $223MQ1 2026: $235MQ2 2026: $255M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$255M+16%
Q1 2026$235.3M+10%
Q4 2025$222.6M+14%
Q3 2025$224.6M+25%
Q2 2025$220M+40%
Q1 2025$213.4M+50%
Q4 2024$194.8M+45%
Q3 2024$179M+39%

NVMI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $255M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVMI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
Q3 2023: $43MQ4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $43MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$38.4M-10%
Q1 2026$36M-40%
Q4 2025$48.4M-21%
Q3 2025$66.9M+55%
Q2 2025$42.9M-26%
Q1 2025$59.7M+5.3%
Q4 2024$61M+191%
Q3 2024$43.1M-0.2%

NVMI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $190M over the past year, down 8.2% from the year before.

NVMI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+7.5%+2.4M shares
3 years+7.9%+2.5M shares
5 years+16%+4.6M shares
Available history+21%+6M shares

NVMI has 34M diluted shares, up 7.5% from a year ago.

NVMI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2023: 0.7xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 20240.4xVery low

NVMI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NVMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

NVMI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

NVMI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVMISector medianRelative
PE41x28x46% above
PE %563521 pts above

NVMI is trading at 41x earnings, a 46% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$337.93% below
20 week MA$377.613% below
50 week MA$422.923% below
100 week MA$336.02.5% below
200 week MA$242.935% above

NVMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 35% above its 200-week average.

NVMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.1$70.3+85%
2021$70.3$137.0+95%
2022$137.0$81.7-40%
2023$81.7$137.4+68%
2024$137.4$200.1+46%
2025$200.1$330.9+65%
2026 YTD$330.9$327.6-1%

NVMI has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 1% so far in 2026.

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