NSSC
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
NSSC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over NSSC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NSSC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
NSSC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
NSSC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $30.34 | — |
| Current | 25x | $30.34 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $33.60 | +11% |
| Fair | 37x | $45.07 | +49% |
| Expensive | 55x | $66.88 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NSSC's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over NSSC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NSSC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NSSC, with profitability improving.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
NSSC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.60 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.22 | -0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.20 | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.04 | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.33 | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.23 | -9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.19 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.22 | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.30 | +12% |
NSSC earned $1.22 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over NSSC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NSSC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50M | +1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $55.8M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.2M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.2M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.7M | +0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $44M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.9M | -9.7% |
NSSC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $50M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4% | -28 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +4.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | -4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | -3 points |
NSSC has the edge over VRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over NSSC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
NSSC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3M | -80% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $16M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.5M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.4M | +0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.4M | +4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.3M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4M | +75% |
NSSC generated $50M in free cash flow over the past year, down 2.7% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over NSSC on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
NSSC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -10K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +16K shares |
| 3 years | -3.2% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -963K shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -1.2M shares |
NSSC has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $7.3M |
| Q2 2020 | $104,000 |
| Q1 2020 | $2.4M |
| Q4 2019 | — |
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
NSSC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
NSSC has the edge over VRT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has more cash than debt.
NSSC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.9 | Oversold |
NSSC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
NSSC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | NSSC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 24x | 3.3% above |
| PE % | 10 | 58 | 48 pts below |
NSSC has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
NSSC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $36.4 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.1 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $35.7 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.4 | 17% below |
NSSC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has the edge over NSSC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NSSC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.8 | $13.3 | -9.8% |
| 2021 | $13.3 | $24.9 | +87% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $26.4 | +5.9% |
| 2023 | $26.4 | $34.3 | +30% |
| 2024 | $34.3 | $35.5 | +3.6% |
| 2025 | $35.5 | $42.8 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.8 | $30.3 | -29% |
NSSC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over NSSC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.