NSSC
Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
NSSC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 25x earnings, below its usual 37x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
NSSC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
NSSC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NSSC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $30.34 | — |
| Current | 25x | $30.34 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $33.60 | +11% |
| Fair | 37x | $45.07 | +49% |
| Expensive | 55x | $66.88 | +120% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NSSC's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
NSSC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NSSC, with profitability improving.
NSSC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.60 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.22 | -0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.20 | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.04 | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.33 | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.23 | -9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.19 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.22 | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.30 | +12% |
NSSC earned $1.22 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
NSSC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50M | +1.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $55.8M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.2M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.2M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.2M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.7M | +0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $44M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.9M | -9.7% |
NSSC's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $50M last quarter, up 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.4% | -28 points |
| Q4 2025 | 31% | +4.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +0.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 24% | -3.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | -4.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | -3 points |
NSSC's operating margin was 28% last quarter, up 0.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NSSC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3M | -80% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.2M | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $16M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.5M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.4M | +0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.4M | +4.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.3M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4M | +75% |
NSSC generated $50M in free cash flow over the past year, down 2.7% from the year before.
NSSC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -10K shares |
| 1 year | 0% | +16K shares |
| 3 years | -3.2% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -2.6% | -963K shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -1.2M shares |
NSSC has 36M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.7M |
| Q3 2024 | $7.3M |
| Q2 2020 | $104,000 |
| Q1 2020 | $2.4M |
| Q4 2019 | — |
NSSC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
NSSC has more cash than debt.
NSSC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.9 | Oversold |
NSSC's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
NSSC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | NSSC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 24x | 3.5% above |
| PE % | 10 | 58 | 48 pts below |
NSSC is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
NSSC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $36.4 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.1 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $35.7 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.4 | 17% below |
NSSC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.
NSSC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.8 | $13.3 | -9.8% |
| 2021 | $13.3 | $24.9 | +87% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $26.4 | +5.9% |
| 2023 | $26.4 | $34.3 | +30% |
| 2024 | $34.3 | $35.5 | +3.6% |
| 2025 | $35.5 | $42.8 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.8 | $30.3 | -29% |
NSSC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 29% so far in 2026.