NRG

NRG Energy, Inc.

47
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

NRG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 17x earnings, above its usual 9.9x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

OKLO

Oklo Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OKLO yet.

NRG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

NRG's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OKLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

OKLO's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

NRG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x127x169x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x127x169x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap2.4x$13.57-86%
Fair9.9x$56.75-42%
Forward10x$98.05โ€”
Current17x$98.05โ€”
Expensive28x$158+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NRG's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

OKLO PE Valuation

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NRG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NRG, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OKLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OKLO's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NRG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$135.53
Downside-22%$76.79

Calculated from the latest close: $98.05 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NRG and OKLO's risk to reward.

OKLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $24.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NRG and OKLO's risk to reward.

NRG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $7.01Q2 2024: $9.13Q3 2024: $3.93Q4 2024: $4.99Q1 2025: $6.29Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $4.01Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $9.49
Q4 2023: $-1.12Q1 2024: $7.01Q2 2024: $9.13Q3 2024: $3.93Q4 2024: $4.99Q1 2025: $6.29Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $6.78Q4 2025: $4.01Q1 2026: $0.92Q2 2026: $3.85Q3 2026: $5.75Forward: $9.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.49+65%
Q3 2026$5.75-15%
Q2 2026$3.85+67%
Q1 2026$0.92-85%
Q4 2025$4.01-20%
Q3 2025$6.78+73%
Q2 2025$2.30-75%
Q1 2025$6.29-10%
Q4 2024$4.99+$6.11

NRG has the edge over OKLO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

OKLO Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.96-$0.43
Q2 2026-$0.94-$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.84-$0.32

OKLO lost $0.96 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

NRG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $7.4BQ2 2024: $6.7BQ3 2024: $7.2BQ4 2024: $6.8BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $6.7BQ3 2025: $7.6BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $7.5BQ3 2026: $9.5B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $7.4BQ2 2024: $6.7BQ3 2024: $7.2BQ4 2024: $6.8BQ1 2025: $8.6BQ2 2025: $6.7BQ3 2025: $7.6BQ4 2025: $7.8BQ1 2026: $10.3BQ2 2026: $7.5BQ3 2026: $9.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.5B+24%
Q2 2026$7.5B+11%
Q1 2026$10.3B+19%
Q4 2025$7.8B+14%
Q3 2025$7.6B+5.7%
Q2 2025$6.7B+1.2%
Q1 2025$8.6B+16%
Q4 2024$6.8B+0.2%

NRG's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $9.5B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

OKLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M

OKLO and NRG do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NRG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $953MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: $766MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: โˆ’$175MQ1 2026: โˆ’$486MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $571M
Q4 2023: $136MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $953MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: $766MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $73MQ3 2025: $230MQ4 2025: โˆ’$175MQ1 2026: โˆ’$486MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $571M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$571M+148%
Q2 2026$779M+967%
Q1 2026-$486M-176%
Q4 2025-$175M-123%
Q3 2025$230M+$313M
Q2 2025$73M-92%
Q1 2025$638M+222%
Q4 2024$766M+463%

NRG has the edge over OKLO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OKLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$199.5M-$176.4M
Q2 2026-$141.7M-$122.3M
Q1 2026-$50.7M-$38.1M
Q4 2025-$60.4M-$46.8M
Q3 2025-$23.1M-$15.1M

OKLO has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$452M over the past year, against โˆ’$69M the year before.

NRG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 228MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 214MQ3 2024: 207MQ4 2024: 212MQ1 2025: 203MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 195MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 210M
Q4 2023: 228MQ1 2024: 214MQ2 2024: 214MQ3 2024: 207MQ4 2024: 212MQ1 2025: 203MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 195MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 210M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-2M shares
1 year+7.7%+15M shares
3 years-9.5%-22M shares
5 years-14%-35M shares
Available history-17%-43M shares

NRG has the edge over OKLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OKLO Total Shares

Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+12.4M shares
1 year+25%+38.2M shares

OKLO has 189M diluted shares, up 25% from a year ago.

NRG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 9.0xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.1x
Q4 2023: 6.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 9.0xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.1xHigh
Q2 20266.3xHigh
Q1 20269.0xHigh
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

NRG's net debt is about 5.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.9 years a year ago.

OKLO Net Leverage

OKLO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NRG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.0Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

NRG's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

OKLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.2Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

OKLO's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NRG PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricNRGSector medianRelative
PE17x20x16% below
PE %594415 pts above

NRG is trading at 17x earnings, a 16% discount to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

OKLO PE vs Utilities Sector

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NRG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.80.3% above
20 week MA$113.414% below
50 week MA$136.828% below
100 week MA$135.828% below
200 week MA$96.51.6% above

NRG has the edge over OKLO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OKLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.517% below
20 week MA$37.435% below
50 week MA$56.657% below
100 week MA$59.459% below
200 week MA$35.231% below

OKLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

NRG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.2$35.1-11%
2021$35.1$42.2+20%
2022$42.2$31.9-24%
2023$31.9$51.7+62%
2024$51.7$92.0+78%
2025$92.0$160.9+75%
2026 YTD$160.9$98.1-39%

NRG has the edge over OKLO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OKLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.79-2.6%
2022$9.79$9.88+0.9%
2023$9.88$10.6+6.9%
2024$10.6$22.8+116%
2025$22.8$76.9+238%
2026 YTD$76.9$24.5-68%

OKLO is down 68% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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