NMIH
NMI Holdings, Inc.
NMIH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over NMIH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
NMIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
NMIH's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NMIH.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
NMIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $34.99 | -10% |
| Forward | 7.3x | $38.88 | — |
| Current | 7.6x | $38.88 | — |
| Fair | 8.1x | $41.23 | +6% |
| Expensive | 9.8x | $50.07 | +29% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NMIH's PE is in its fair range at 7.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over NMIH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NMIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect NMIH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over NMIH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.
NMIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.30 | +3.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.10 | +6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.09 | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.92 | +6.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.92 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.78 | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.71 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.63 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.43 | +15% |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
NMIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $187.6M | +5% |
| Q2 2026 | $187.9M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $183.5M | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $180.7M | +8.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $178.7M | +7.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $173.8M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $173.2M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $166.5M | +10% |
NMIH's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $188M last quarter, up 5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 64% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 73% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 68% | -7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 67% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 69% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 71% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 76% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 67% | -2.9 points |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over NMIH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
NMIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $108.9M | -14% |
| Q2 2026 | $140.2M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $115M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $60.1M | +75% |
| Q3 2025 | $126.3M | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $126.7M | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.4M | -9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.4M | +20% |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
NMIH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -468K shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -9% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -10.8M shares |
| Available history | +8.3% | +5.8M shares |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $27.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $32.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $27.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $30.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $24.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $24M |
| Q1 2025 | $25.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $28.7M |
NMIH spent $118M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
NMIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.8x | Very low |
NMIH's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMIH.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over NMIH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NMIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.6 | Neutral |
NMIH's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
NMIH PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | NMIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.6x | 13x | 41% below |
| PE % | 32 | 63 | 31 pts below |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
NMIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $40.5 | 4% below |
| 20 week MA | $42.4 | 8.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $40.2 | 3.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.8 | 0.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $34.6 | 12% above |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
NMIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.6 | $22.8 | -32% |
| 2021 | $22.8 | $21.3 | -6.2% |
| 2022 | $21.3 | $20.6 | -3.4% |
| 2023 | $20.6 | $29.7 | +44% |
| 2024 | $29.7 | $36.7 | +24% |
| 2025 | $36.7 | $41.4 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.4 | $38.9 | -6.1% |
NMIH has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.