NMIH

NMI Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

NMIH's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 6.9%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 68%. At 7.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.1x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

NMIH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

NMIH's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NMIH.

NMIH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$34.99-10%
Forward7.3x$38.88—
Current7.6x$38.88—
Fair8.1x$41.23+6%
Expensive9.8x$50.07+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NMIH's PE is in its fair range at 7.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NMIH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NMIH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

NMIH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$45.91
Downside-12%$34.24

Calculated from the latest close: $38.88 on Nov 12.

NMIH's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +18% against −12%.

NMIH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $4.04Q2 2024: $4.22Q3 2024: $4.37Q4 2024: $4.43Q1 2025: $4.63Q2 2025: $4.71Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $4.92Q1 2026: $4.92Q2 2026: $5.09Q3 2026: $5.10Forward: $5.30
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $4.04Q2 2024: $4.22Q3 2024: $4.37Q4 2024: $4.43Q1 2025: $4.63Q2 2025: $4.71Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $4.92Q1 2026: $4.92Q2 2026: $5.09Q3 2026: $5.10Forward: $5.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.30+3.9%
Q3 2026$5.10+6.7%
Q2 2026$5.09+8.1%
Q1 2026$4.92+6.3%
Q4 2025$4.92+11%
Q3 2025$4.78+9.4%
Q2 2025$4.71+12%
Q1 2025$4.63+15%
Q4 2024$4.43+15%

NMIH's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.10 over the past year, up 6.7% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

NMIH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $162MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $173MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $188MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $162MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $173MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $188MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$187.6M+5%
Q2 2026$187.9M+8.1%
Q1 2026$183.5M+5.9%
Q4 2025$180.7M+8.5%
Q3 2025$178.7M+7.6%
Q2 2025$173.8M+7.2%
Q1 2025$173.2M+11%
Q4 2024$166.5M+10%

NMIH's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $188M last quarter, up 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NMIH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$108.9M-14%
Q2 2026$140.2M+11%
Q1 2026$115M+16%
Q4 2025$60.1M+75%
Q3 2025$126.3M-0.5%
Q2 2025$126.7M+9.3%
Q1 2025$99.4M-9.1%
Q4 2024$34.4M+20%

NMIH's free cash flow was $424M over the past year, up 9.7% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMIH.

NMIH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-468K shares
1 year-3.4%-2.7M shares
3 years-9%-7.6M shares
5 years-12%-10.8M shares
Available history+8.3%+5.8M shares

NMIH has 76M diluted shares, down 3.4% from a year ago, with $118M in buybacks over the past year.

NMIH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

NMIH's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMIH.

NMIH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic38.6Neutral

NMIH's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

NMIH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNMIHSector medianRelative
PE7.6x13x41% below
PE %326331 pts below

NMIH is trading at 7.6x earnings, a 41% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NMIH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.54% below
20 week MA$42.48.3% below
50 week MA$40.23.2% below
100 week MA$38.80.1% above
200 week MA$34.612% above

NMIH has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% above its 200-week average.

NMIH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.6$22.8-32%
2021$22.8$21.3-6.2%
2022$21.3$20.6-3.4%
2023$20.6$29.7+44%
2024$29.7$36.7+24%
2025$36.7$41.4+13%
2026 YTD$41.4$38.9-6.1%

NMIH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 6.1% so far in 2026.

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