NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over TNL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
TNL
Travel + Leisure Co.
TNL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
TNL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
TNL's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over TNL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TNL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $30.55 | -61% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $78.24 | — |
| Fair | 9.6x | $35.89 | -54% |
| Expensive | 19x | $72.44 | -7.4% |
| Current | 21x | $78.24 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TNL's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TNL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TNL, but weaker profitability.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
TNL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.52 | +127% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.75 | -38% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.69 | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.59 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.44 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.06 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.78 | -2.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.97 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.82 | +10% |
TNL has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
TNL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $961M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $934M | +2% |
| Q4 2024 | $971M | +3.7% |
TNL has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | -2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2% | -24 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +0.8 points |
TNL has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
TNL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $111M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $195M | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $19M | -81% |
| Q4 2025 | $92M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $136M | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $195M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $100M | +233% |
| Q4 2024 | $75M | -38% |
TNL has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
TNL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -5.3% | -3.5M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -11M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -24.8M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -27.2M shares |
TNL has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75M |
| Q2 2026 | $88M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $90M |
| Q3 2025 | $71M |
| Q2 2025 | $70M |
| Q1 2025 | $70M |
| Q4 2024 | $72M |
TNL spent $340M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over TNL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TNL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.4x | High |
TNL's net debt is about 8.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.9 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
TNL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.9 | Neutral |
TNL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over TNL on valuation relative to its sector.
TNL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TNL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 16% above |
| PE % | 88 | 47 | 41 pts above |
TNL is trading at 21x earnings, a 16% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
TNL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $68.0 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $70.5 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $70.9 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $62.8 | 25% above |
| 200 week MA | $52.5 | 49% above |
TNL has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
TNL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.9 | $43.0 | -17% |
| 2021 | $43.0 | $53.9 | +25% |
| 2022 | $53.9 | $36.1 | -33% |
| 2023 | $36.1 | $39.1 | +8.2% |
| 2024 | $39.1 | $50.6 | +29% |
| 2025 | $50.6 | $72.5 | +44% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.5 | $78.2 | +7.9% |
TNL has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.