NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
TJX has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
TJX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
TJX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over TJX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TJX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 24x | $131 | -3.5% |
| Current | 25x | $136 | — |
| Forward | 25x | $136 | — |
| Fair | 29x | $154 | +13% |
| Expensive | 38x | $204 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TJX's PE is in its cheap range at 25.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24.6x.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TJX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
TJX has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
TJX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.53 | +2.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.40 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.14 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.87 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.53 | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.39 | +6% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.25 | +5.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.26 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.25 | +21% |
TJX has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
TJX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.2B | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.3B | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.7B | +8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.1B | +7.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.4B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.1B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.4B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +6% |
TJX has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +0.4 points |
TJX has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
TJX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $457M | +$560M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | -$103M | -132% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | -7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $624M | -12% |
TJX has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
TJX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -44M shares |
| 5 years | -8.5% | -104M shares |
| Available history | -8.8% | -107M shares |
TJX has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $814M |
| Q2 2026 | $604M |
| Q1 2026 | $784M |
| Q4 2025 | $594M |
| Q3 2025 | $531M |
| Q2 2025 | $613M |
| Q1 2025 | $852M |
| Q4 2024 | $593M |
TJX spent $2.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 8% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TJX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
TJX has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
TJX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.6 | Neutral |
TJX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over TJX on valuation relative to its sector.
TJX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TJX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 21 | 47 | 26 pts below |
TJX is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
TJX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $138.2 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $142.6 | 4.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $151.2 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $140.5 | 3.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $118.2 | 15% above |
TJX has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
TJX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.9 | $67.0 | +10% |
| 2021 | $67.0 | $73.8 | +10% |
| 2022 | $73.8 | $79.5 | +7.8% |
| 2023 | $79.5 | $93.8 | +18% |
| 2024 | $93.8 | $123.9 | +32% |
| 2025 | $123.9 | $157.1 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $157.1 | $136.0 | -13% |
TJX has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.