TJX

The TJX Companies, Inc.

66
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

TJX's fundamentals are strong: free cash flow grew 45% and earnings per share grew 23%. At 25x earnings, it's trading below its usual 29x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TJX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TJX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TJX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE320x639x959x1279x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE320x639x959x1279x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$131-3.5%
Current25x$136—
Forward25x$136—
Fair29x$154+13%
Expensive38x$204+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TJX's PE is in its cheap range at 25.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24.6x.

TJX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TJX, with profitability improving.

TJX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$163.12
Downside-10%$123.00

Calculated from the latest close: $135.98 on Nov 12.

TJX's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +20% against −9.5%.

TJX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.52Q1 2024: $3.86Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.14Q4 2024: $4.25Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.25Q3 2025: $4.39Q4 2025: $4.53Q1 2026: $4.87Q2 2026: $5.14Q3 2026: $5.40Forward: $5.53
Q4 2023: $3.52Q1 2024: $3.86Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $4.14Q4 2024: $4.25Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.25Q3 2025: $4.39Q4 2025: $4.53Q1 2026: $4.87Q2 2026: $5.14Q3 2026: $5.40Forward: $5.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.53+2.4%
Q3 2026$5.40+23%
Q2 2026$5.14+21%
Q1 2026$4.87+14%
Q4 2025$4.53+6.6%
Q3 2025$4.39+6%
Q2 2025$4.25+5.5%
Q1 2025$4.26+10%
Q4 2024$4.25+21%

TJX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.40 over the past year, up 23% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.

TJX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $16.4BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $16.4BQ2 2025: $13.1BQ3 2025: $14.4BQ4 2025: $15.1BQ1 2026: $17.7BQ2 2026: $14.3BQ3 2026: $15.2B
Q4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $16.4BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $16.4BQ2 2025: $13.1BQ3 2025: $14.4BQ4 2025: $15.1BQ1 2026: $17.7BQ2 2026: $14.3BQ3 2026: $15.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$15.2B+5.4%
Q2 2026$14.3B+9.2%
Q1 2026$17.7B+8.5%
Q4 2025$15.1B+7.5%
Q3 2025$14.4B+6.9%
Q2 2025$13.1B+5.1%
Q1 2025$16.4B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+6%

TJX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $15.2B last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

TJX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $711MQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $318MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $624MQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$103MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $457MQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $711MQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $318MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $624MQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$103MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $457MQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+30%
Q2 2026$457M+$560M
Q1 2026$2.7B+23%
Q4 2025$1B+60%
Q3 2025$1.3B+25%
Q2 2025-$103M-132%
Q1 2025$2.2B-7.1%
Q4 2024$624M-12%

TJX generated $5.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 45% from the year before.

TJX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-3M shares
1 year-1%-11M shares
3 years-3.8%-44M shares
5 years-8.5%-104M shares
Available history-8.8%-107M shares

TJX has 1.1B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $2.8B in buybacks over the past year.

TJX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

TJX has more cash than debt.

TJX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.9Neutral
Stochastic36.6Neutral

TJX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

TJX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTJXSector medianRelative
PE25x18x40% above
PE %214726 pts below

TJX is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

TJX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$138.21.6% below
20 week MA$142.64.6% below
50 week MA$151.210% below
100 week MA$140.53.2% below
200 week MA$118.215% above

TJX has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

TJX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.9$67.0+10%
2021$67.0$73.8+10%
2022$73.8$79.5+7.8%
2023$79.5$93.8+18%
2024$93.8$123.9+32%
2025$123.9$157.1+27%
2026 YTD$157.1$136.0-13%

TJX has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 13% so far in 2026.

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