NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over THRM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

THRM

Gentherm Incorporated

39
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

THRM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

THRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

THRM's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over THRM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

THRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x93x140x187x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$28.79—
Cheap24x$6.79-76%
Fair36x$10.21-65%
Expensive62x$17.38-40%
Current103x$28.79—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THRM's PE is in its expensive range at 103x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THRM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for THRM, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than THRM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

THRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$31.26
Downside-52%$13.87

Calculated from the latest close: $28.79 on Nov 12.

THRM trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

THRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.22Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.99Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.28Forward: $2.82
Q4 2023: $1.22Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.06Q1 2025: $1.59Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.99Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.73Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $0.28Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82+907%
Q3 2026$0.28-72%
Q2 2026$0.85-16%
Q1 2026$0.73-54%
Q4 2025$0.59-71%
Q3 2025$0.99-54%
Q2 2025$1.01-52%
Q1 2025$1.59+9.7%
Q4 2024$2.06+69%

THRM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.28 over the past year, against $3.50 in mid-2021.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

THRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $416MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $376MQ3 2024: $372MQ4 2024: $353MQ1 2025: $354MQ2 2025: $375MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $383MQ1 2026: $394MQ2 2026: $416MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$405.1M+4.7%
Q2 2026$416.2M+11%
Q1 2026$393.7M+11%
Q4 2025$382.8M+8.5%
Q3 2025$386.9M+4.1%
Q2 2025$375.1M-0.2%
Q1 2025$353.9M-0.6%
Q4 2024$352.9M-3.8%

THRM has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

THRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.4M-45%
Q2 2026-$1.2M-103%
Q1 2026-$10.7M+$17.5M
Q4 2025$6.7M-51%
Q3 2025$46.5M+75%
Q2 2025$36.2M+104%
Q1 2025-$28.2M-$6.6M
Q4 2024$13.6M-52%

THRM has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

THRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 31MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-382K shares
1 year-0.2%-76K shares
3 years-7.6%-2.5M shares
5 years-8.7%-2.9M shares
Available history-7.9%-2.6M shares

THRM has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over THRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

THRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

THRM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

THRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic23.1Neutral

THRM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over THRM on valuation relative to its sector.

THRM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTHRMSector medianRelative
PE103x18x471% above
PE %964749 pts above

THRM is trading at 103x earnings, a 471% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over THRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

THRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.45.2% below
20 week MA$35.719% below
50 week MA$34.116% below
100 week MA$33.414% below
200 week MA$43.333% below

THRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

THRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.3$66.0+49%
2021$66.0$82.4+25%
2022$82.4$63.8-23%
2023$63.8$52.4-18%
2024$52.4$39.0-25%
2025$39.0$37.2-4.7%
2026 YTD$37.2$28.8-23%

THRM has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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