NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over PZZA overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
PZZA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
PZZA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
PZZA's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over PZZA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PZZA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $15.78 | -18% |
| Current | 25x | $19.16 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $25.26 | +32% |
| Expensive | 100x | $75.77 | +295% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PZZA's PE is in its cheap range at 25x.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PZZA Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for PZZA to show an outlook.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
PZZA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.76 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.80 | -65% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.84 | -65% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.90 | -65% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.14 | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.28 | +8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.37 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +2.4% |
PZZA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.76 over the past year, against $2.89 in late 2024.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over PZZA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over PZZA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PZZA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $454.8M | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $482.4M | -8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $478.6M | -7.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $498.2M | -6.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $508.2M | +0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $529.2M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $518.3M | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $530.8M | -7.1% |
PZZA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $455M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.9% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2% | -9.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.6% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.6% | -1.9 points |
PZZA's operating margin was 3.1% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
PZZA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.7M | -57% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.7M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.2M | -133% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1M | -92% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.7M | +$26.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.4M | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.1M | +$20.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $25.2M | -38% |
PZZA has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
PZZA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +86K shares |
| 3 years | +1% | +329K shares |
| 5 years | -9.8% | -3.6M shares |
| Available history | +4.7% | +1.5M shares |
PZZA has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $2.1M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $708,000 |
| Q1 2023 | $209.6M |
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over PZZA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PZZA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
PZZA's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
PZZA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.3 | Oversold |
PZZA's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over PZZA on valuation relative to its sector.
PZZA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PZZA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 29 | 47 | 18 pts below |
PZZA is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over PZZA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PZZA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.2 | 0.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $23.8 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $30.8 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.2 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $51.4 | 63% below |
PZZA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% below its 200-week average.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over PZZA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PZZA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.5 | $87.5 | +36% |
| 2021 | $87.5 | $132.6 | +51% |
| 2022 | $132.6 | $84.0 | -37% |
| 2023 | $84.0 | $76.2 | -9.2% |
| 2024 | $76.2 | $39.5 | -48% |
| 2025 | $39.5 | $39.3 | -0.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.3 | $19.2 | -51% |
PZZA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 51% so far in 2026.