NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over PATK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
PATK
Patrick Industries, Inc.
PATK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
PATK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
PATK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over PATK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PATK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $25.09 | -68% |
| Fair | 16x | $61.65 | -22% |
| Forward | 17x | $78.59 | — |
| Current | 20x | $78.59 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $85.00 | +8.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PATK's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PATK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PATK, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
PATK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.70 | +22% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.84 | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.21 | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.89 | -6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.90 | -5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.49 | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.68 | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.16 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.11 | -5.1% |
PATK has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over PATK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PATK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $975.3M | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | -0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $997.2M | -0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $924.2M | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $975.6M | +6.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +7.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $846.1M | +8.3% |
PATK has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.1% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.4% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.2% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.8% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.3% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7% | -2.7 points |
PATK's operating margin was 5.1% last quarter, down 1.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
PATK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $58.4M | +$75.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $65.3M | -50% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.9M | -265% |
| Q4 2025 | $112.7M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | -$17.2M | -151% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.1M | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.9M | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $77.2M | -25% |
PATK has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
PATK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.9% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -2.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.5% | -171K shares |
| 5 years | -7% | -2.4M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -2.3M shares |
PATK has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $91.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M |
PATK spent $106M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 190% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over PATK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PATK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
PATK's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
PATK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.7 | Neutral |
PATK's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over PATK on valuation relative to its sector.
PATK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PATK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 18x | 14% above |
| PE % | 74 | 47 | 27 pts above |
PATK is trading at 20x earnings, a 14% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
PATK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $71.4 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.0 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $97.1 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $95.8 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.6 | 2.5% below |
PATK has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
PATK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.0 | $46.9 | +34% |
| 2021 | $46.9 | $52.6 | +12% |
| 2022 | $52.6 | $40.8 | -23% |
| 2023 | $40.8 | $66.9 | +64% |
| 2024 | $66.9 | $83.5 | +25% |
| 2025 | $83.5 | $112.1 | +34% |
| 2026 YTD | $112.1 | $78.6 | -30% |
PATK has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.