NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSW

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited

62
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

OSW has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

OSW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

OSW's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over OSW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OSW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$30.69—
Cheap27x$23.09-25%
Fair33x$27.31-11%
Current37x$30.69—
Expensive41x$34.47+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSW's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSW, with profitability holding steady.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$36.95
Downside-18%$25.16

Calculated from the latest close: $30.69 on Nov 12.

OSW trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

OSW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $0.27Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.49Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.63Q2 2025: $0.67Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $0.84Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $0.27Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.49Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.63Q2 2025: $0.67Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $0.84Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+51%
Q3 2026$0.84+20%
Q2 2026$0.79+18%
Q1 2026$0.75+19%
Q4 2025$0.690%
Q3 2025$0.70+43%
Q2 2025$0.67+49%
Q1 2025$0.63+133%
Q4 2024$0.69+$0.80

OSW has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: $259MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $277M
Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: $259MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $277M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$276.5M+7%
Q2 2026$261.2M+8.5%
Q1 2026$247.6M+13%
Q4 2025$242.1M+11%
Q3 2025$258.5M+7%
Q2 2025$240.7M+7%
Q1 2025$219.6M+4%
Q4 2024$217.2M+11%

OSW has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

OSW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.6M+58%
Q2 2026$31M+77%
Q1 2026$4.7M-44%
Q4 2025$14.9M+13%
Q3 2025$27.6M+0.3%
Q2 2025$17.6M0%
Q1 2025$8.4M-39%
Q4 2024$13.2M-8.7%

OSW has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

OSW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-617K shares
1 year-1.7%-1.8M shares
3 years+0.5%+495K shares
5 years+12%+11M shares
Available history+36%+26.7M shares

OSW has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over OSW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OSW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

OSW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

OSW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.3Neutral
Stochastic89.8Overbought

OSW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over OSW on valuation relative to its sector.

OSW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOSWSector medianRelative
PE37x18x103% above
PE %724725 pts above

OSW is trading at 37x earnings, a 103% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

OSW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.317% above
20 week MA$25.719% above
50 week MA$23.928% above
100 week MA$22.040% above
200 week MA$17.773% above

OSW has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

OSW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.9$9.03-47%
2021$9.03$10.1+12%
2022$10.1$9.45-6.6%
2023$9.45$14.1+49%
2024$14.1$20.0+42%
2025$20.0$21.4+7%
2026 YTD$21.4$30.7+44%

OSW has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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