NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over ORLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
ORLY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
ORLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
ORLY's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over ORLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ORLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 22x | $70.95 | -23% |
| Fair | 26x | $83.95 | -8.3% |
| Forward | 26x | $91.56 | — |
| Current | 28x | $91.56 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $102 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ORLY's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ORLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ORLY has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
ORLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.57 | +9.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.27 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.15 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.97 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.89 | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.80 | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.72 | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.71 | +5.4% |
ORLY has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
ORLY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 4.3% for NKE versus up 7.8% for ORLY.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ORLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $4.7B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1B | +6.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.4B | +3.8% |
| Q2 2024 | $4.3B | +5% |
| Q1 2024 | $4B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2023 | $3.8B | +5.1% |
ORLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 21% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2024 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2024 | 19% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2023 | 19% | 0 points |
ORLY's operating margin was 21% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
ORLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $698.9M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $788.5M | +68% |
| Q4 2025 | $364.5M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $304.4M | -41% |
| Q2 2025 | $456.1M | -37% |
| Q1 2025 | $468.2M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $334M | +26% |
ORLY has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
ORLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -16.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.7% | -40.5M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -96.6M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -226M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -355M shares |
ORLY has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $922.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $500.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $420M |
| Q2 2025 | $617.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $559.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $472M |
ORLY spent $4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 92% from the year before.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over ORLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ORLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
ORLY's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
ORLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.9 | Neutral |
ORLY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over ORLY on valuation relative to its sector.
ORLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ORLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 18x | 56% above |
| PE % | 67 | 47 | 20 pts above |
ORLY is trading at 28x earnings, a 56% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
ORLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.3 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $88.3 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $90.9 | 0.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $92.2 | 0.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.6 | 15% above |
ORLY has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.
ORLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.2 | $30.8 | +5.6% |
| 2021 | $30.8 | $45.3 | +47% |
| 2022 | $45.3 | $55.6 | +23% |
| 2023 | $55.6 | $63.3 | +14% |
| 2024 | $63.3 | $79.8 | +26% |
| 2025 | $79.8 | $92.3 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $92.3 | $91.6 | -0.7% |
ORLY has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.