ORLY

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

56
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ORLY's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 35%, while its operating margin held steady at 19%. At 28x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 26x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ORLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

ORLY's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

ORLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$70.95-23%
Fair26x$83.95-8.3%
Forward26x$91.56—
Current28x$91.56—
Expensive31x$102+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORLY's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ORLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ORLY, with profitability improving.

ORLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$106.05
Downside-13%$80.07

Calculated from the latest close: $91.56 on Nov 12.

ORLY's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +16% against −13%.

ORLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.57Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.65Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.89Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $3.15Q3 2026: $3.27Forward: $3.57
Q4 2023: $2.57Q1 2024: $2.63Q2 2024: $2.65Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.72Q2 2025: $2.80Q3 2025: $2.89Q4 2025: $2.97Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $3.15Q3 2026: $3.27Forward: $3.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.57+9.2%
Q3 2026$3.27+13%
Q2 2026$3.15+13%
Q1 2026$3.07+13%
Q4 2025$2.97+9.6%
Q3 2025$2.89+7.4%
Q2 2025$2.80+5.7%
Q1 2025$2.72+3.4%
Q4 2024$2.71+5.4%

ORLY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.27 over the past year, up 13% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

ORLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4.3BQ3 2024: $4.4BQ4 2024: $4.1BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2025$4.7B+7.8%
Q2 2025$4.5B+5.9%
Q1 2025$4.1B+4%
Q4 2024$4.1B+6.9%
Q3 2024$4.4B+3.8%
Q2 2024$4.3B+5%
Q1 2024$4B+7.2%
Q4 2023$3.8B+5.1%

ORLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

ORLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $723MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $334MQ1 2025: $468MQ2 2025: $456MQ3 2025: $304MQ4 2025: $364MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $251M
Q4 2023: $264MQ1 2024: $455MQ2 2024: $723MQ3 2024: $514MQ4 2024: $334MQ1 2025: $468MQ2 2025: $456MQ3 2025: $304MQ4 2025: $364MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: $699MQ3 2026: $251M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$250.5M-18%
Q2 2026$698.9M+53%
Q1 2026$788.5M+68%
Q4 2025$364.5M+9.1%
Q3 2025$304.4M-41%
Q2 2025$456.1M-37%
Q1 2025$468.2M+2.9%
Q4 2024$334M+26%

ORLY's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.1B over the past year, up 35% from the year before.

ORLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 915MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 886MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 881MQ1 2025: 864MQ2 2025: 858MQ3 2025: 853MQ4 2025: 856MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 829MQ3 2026: 812M
Q4 2023: 915MQ1 2024: 892MQ2 2024: 886MQ3 2024: 875MQ4 2024: 881MQ1 2025: 864MQ2 2025: 858MQ3 2025: 853MQ4 2025: 856MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 829MQ3 2026: 812M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2%-16.7M shares
1 year-4.7%-40.5M shares
3 years-11%-96.6M shares
5 years-22%-226M shares
Available history-30%-355M shares

ORLY has 812M diluted shares, down 4.7% from a year ago, with $4B in buybacks over the past year.

ORLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.5xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.5xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

ORLY's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.

ORLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic62.9Neutral

ORLY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

ORLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricORLYSector medianRelative
PE28x18x56% above
PE %674720 pts above

ORLY is trading at 28x earnings, a 56% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ORLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.33.7% above
20 week MA$88.33.7% above
50 week MA$90.90.7% above
100 week MA$92.20.7% below
200 week MA$79.615% above

ORLY's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

ORLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.2$30.8+5.6%
2021$30.8$45.3+47%
2022$45.3$55.6+23%
2023$55.6$63.3+14%
2024$63.3$79.8+26%
2025$79.8$92.3+16%
2026 YTD$92.3$91.6-0.7%

ORLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 0.7% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key