NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over VAC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
VAC
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
VAC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VAC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
VAC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VAC PE Valuation
VAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
VAC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VAC, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over VAC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VAC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.67 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$7.00 | -257% |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.31 | -240% |
| Q1 2026 | -$9.66 | -265% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.84 | -258% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.45 | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.64 | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.85 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.61 | -11% |
VAC has swung to a loss: it lost $7.00 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over VAC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VAC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +4.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2B | +9.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +11% |
VAC's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $1.4B last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +8.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -34% | -42 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6% | -8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.8% | -0.8 points |
VAC has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
VAC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $116M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $66M | +$134M |
| Q1 2026 | -$12M | -$6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$6M | -107% |
| Q3 2025 | $51M | -12% |
| Q2 2025 | -$68M | -500% |
| Q1 2025 | -$6M | +$7M |
| Q4 2024 | $86M | +51% |
VAC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $164M over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
VAC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +400K shares |
| 1 year | +11% | +3.7M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -4.7M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -5.1M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -5.9M shares |
VAC has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $25M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $36M |
| Q4 2024 | $11M |
VAC spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 47% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VAC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q3 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 2.9x | Moderate |
VAC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
VAC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.9 | Neutral |
VAC's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VAC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | VAC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
VAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
VAC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $109.2 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $107.2 | 7.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $84.4 | 36% above |
| 100 week MA | $77.9 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $90.2 | 28% above |
VAC has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
VAC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $130.6 | $134.1 | +2.7% |
| 2021 | $134.1 | $166.5 | +24% |
| 2022 | $166.5 | $134.1 | -19% |
| 2023 | $134.1 | $84.9 | -37% |
| 2024 | $84.9 | $90.6 | +6.8% |
| 2025 | $90.6 | $58.6 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $58.6 | $115.0 | +96% |
VAC has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.