NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
TJX has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TJX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
TJX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TJX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 24x | $131 | -3.5% |
| Current | 25x | $136 | — |
| Forward | 25x | $136 | — |
| Fair | 29x | $154 | +13% |
| Expensive | 38x | $204 | +50% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TJX's PE is in its cheap range at 25.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24.6x.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
TJX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TJX, with profitability improving.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
TJX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.53 | +2.4% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.40 | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.14 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.87 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.53 | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.39 | +6% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.25 | +5.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.26 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.25 | +21% |
TJX has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over TJX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TJX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.2B | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.3B | +9.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.7B | +8.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.1B | +7.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.4B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.1B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.4B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +6% |
TJX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $15.2B last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 10% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +0.4 points |
TJX has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
TJX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $457M | +$560M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | -$103M | -132% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | -7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $624M | -12% |
TJX has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
TJX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -44M shares |
| 5 years | -8.5% | -104M shares |
| Available history | -8.8% | -107M shares |
TJX has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $814M |
| Q2 2026 | $604M |
| Q1 2026 | $784M |
| Q4 2025 | $594M |
| Q3 2025 | $531M |
| Q2 2025 | $613M |
| Q1 2025 | $852M |
| Q4 2024 | $593M |
TJX spent $2.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 8% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TJX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
TJX has more cash than debt.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
TJX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.6 | Neutral |
TJX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TJX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TJX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 18x | 40% above |
| PE % | 21 | 47 | 26 pts below |
TJX is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
TJX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $138.2 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $142.6 | 4.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $151.2 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $140.5 | 3.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $118.2 | 15% above |
TJX has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
TJX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.9 | $67.0 | +10% |
| 2021 | $67.0 | $73.8 | +10% |
| 2022 | $73.8 | $79.5 | +7.8% |
| 2023 | $79.5 | $93.8 | +18% |
| 2024 | $93.8 | $123.9 | +32% |
| 2025 | $123.9 | $157.1 | +27% |
| 2026 YTD | $157.1 | $136.0 | -13% |
TJX has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.