NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over THRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
THRM
Gentherm Incorporated
THRM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
THRM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
THRM's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
THRM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 10x | $28.79 | — |
| Cheap | 24x | $6.79 | -76% |
| Fair | 36x | $10.21 | -65% |
| Expensive | 62x | $17.38 | -40% |
| Current | 103x | $28.79 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
THRM's PE is in its expensive range at 103x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over THRM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
THRM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for THRM, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
THRM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.82 | +907% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.28 | -72% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.85 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.73 | -54% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.59 | -71% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.99 | -54% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.01 | -52% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.59 | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.06 | +69% |
THRM has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over THRM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
THRM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405.1M | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $416.2M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $393.7M | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $382.8M | +8.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $386.9M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $375.1M | -0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $353.9M | -0.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $352.9M | -3.8% |
THRM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $405M last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.6% | -3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9% | -2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.2% | -2.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.4% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.7% | -1.9 points |
THRM has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over THRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
THRM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.4M | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.2M | -103% |
| Q1 2026 | -$10.7M | +$17.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.7M | -51% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.5M | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $36.2M | +104% |
| Q1 2025 | -$28.2M | -$6.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $13.6M | -52% |
THRM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $20M over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
THRM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -382K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -76K shares |
| 3 years | -7.6% | -2.5M shares |
| 5 years | -8.7% | -2.9M shares |
| Available history | -7.9% | -2.6M shares |
THRM has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $10M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $10M |
| Q3 2024 | $19.9M |
| Q4 2023 | $60M |
| Q3 2023 | $11.1M |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
THRM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
THRM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
THRM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.1 | Neutral |
THRM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
THRM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | THRM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 103x | 18x | 471% above |
| PE % | 96 | 47 | 49 pts above |
THRM is trading at 103x earnings, a 471% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
THRM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $30.4 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $35.7 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $34.1 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $33.4 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $43.3 | 33% below |
THRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
THRM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $44.3 | $66.0 | +49% |
| 2021 | $66.0 | $82.4 | +25% |
| 2022 | $82.4 | $63.8 | -23% |
| 2023 | $63.8 | $52.4 | -18% |
| 2024 | $52.4 | $39.0 | -25% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $37.2 | -4.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $28.8 | -23% |
THRM has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.