NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
SBUX has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SBUX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SBUX's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SBUX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 25x | $54.72 | -49% |
| Fair | 32x | $71.35 | -33% |
| Forward | 33x | $107 | — |
| Current | 49x | $107 | — |
| Expensive | 78x | $172 | +60% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SBUX's PE is in its expensive range at 49x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over SBUX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
SBUX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SBUX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
SBUX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.23 | +46% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.21 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.73 | -25% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.31 | -53% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.20 | -61% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.63 | -51% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.32 | -35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.76 | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.10 | -17% |
SBUX has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over SBUX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SBUX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.1B | -4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.3B | -1.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.5B | +8.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.9B | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.6B | +5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.5B | +3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8B | +2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.4B | -0.3% |
SBUX's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $9.1B last quarter, down 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +7.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.7% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9% | -3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9% | -12 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.9% | -6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9% | -6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -3.8 points |
SBUX has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
SBUX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +211% |
| Q1 2026 | $91.8M | +$389M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $925.8M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $434.3M | -54% |
| Q1 2025 | -$297.2M | -$144.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -23% |
SBUX generated $3.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 53% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
SBUX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -400K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +3.6M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -7.9M shares |
| 5 years | -3.6% | -42.1M shares |
| Available history | -4% | -47.6M shares |
SBUX has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $1.3B |
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SBUX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 1.8x | Healthy |
SBUX's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.8 years a year ago.
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
SBUX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.9 | Neutral |
SBUX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SBUX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SBUX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 18x | 169% above |
| PE % | 70 | 47 | 23 pts above |
SBUX is trading at 49x earnings, a 169% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
SBUX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $99.4 | 7.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $102.3 | 4.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $98.4 | 9% above |
| 100 week MA | $94.8 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $94.9 | 13% above |
SBUX has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
SBUX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $88.1 | $102.0 | +16% |
| 2021 | $102.0 | $112.4 | +10% |
| 2022 | $112.4 | $98.3 | -13% |
| 2023 | $98.3 | $96.0 | -2.3% |
| 2024 | $96.0 | $92.3 | -3.9% |
| 2025 | $92.3 | $85.1 | -7.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.1 | $107.3 | +26% |
SBUX has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.