NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over SAH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

SAH

Sonic Automotive, Inc.

55
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SAH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SAH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

SAH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$35.57-41%
Forward9.1x$60.18—
Current9.6x$60.18—
Fair11x$66.57+11%
Expensive18x$110+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAH's PE is in its fair range at 9.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over SAH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

SAH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SAH's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails SAH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$78.03
Downside-20%$48.40

Calculated from the latest close: $60.18 on Nov 12.

SAH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

SAH Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.17Q2 2026: $6.30Q3 2026: $6.25Forward: $6.62
Q3 2025: $3.70Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.17Q2 2026: $6.30Q3 2026: $6.25Forward: $6.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.62+6%
Q3 2026$6.25+69%

SAH has the edge over NIO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over SAH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+0.4%
Q2 2026$3.9B+7.6%
Q1 2026$3.7B+1%
Q4 2025$3.9B-0.6%

SAH's revenue has held roughly level: $4B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

SAH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $421MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$218MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $421MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $134MQ4 2025: $329MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$218MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$217.8M-312%
Q1 2026-$1.5M-101%
Q4 2025$329.4M-22%

SAH and NIO do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

SAH Total Shares

Q4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 32M
Q4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 34MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.6%-1.9M shares
1 year-5.9%-2M shares

SAH has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SAH Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

SAH's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SAH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.2Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

SAH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSAHSector medianRelative
PE9.6x18x47% below
PE %364711 pts below

SAH is trading at 9.6x earnings, a 47% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

SAH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.33.4% below
20 week MA$75.520% below
50 week MA$71.516% below
100 week MA$70.815% below
200 week MA$62.23.3% below

SAH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 3.3% below its 200-week average.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

SAH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.6$38.2+25%
2021$38.2$48.3+27%
2022$48.3$47.5-1.8%
2023$47.5$56.2+18%
2024$56.2$63.6+13%
2025$63.6$64.3+1.1%
2026 YTD$64.3$60.2-6.4%

SAH has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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