NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PLOW

Douglas Dynamics, Inc.

75
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PLOW has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PLOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

PLOW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLOW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$37.54—
Cheap12x$34.13-9.1%
Current14x$37.54—
Fair21x$59.01+57%
Expensive25x$69.11+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLOW's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

PLOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLOW, with profitability improving.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails PLOW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$52.95
Downside-13%$32.67

Calculated from the latest close: $37.54 on Nov 12.

PLOW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

PLOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.96Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $2.30Q4 2024: $2.34Q1 2025: $2.71Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $1.75Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.22Q2 2026: $2.20Q3 2026: $2.76Forward: $3.31
Q4 2023: $0.96Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $2.30Q4 2024: $2.34Q1 2025: $2.71Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $1.75Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.22Q2 2026: $2.20Q3 2026: $2.76Forward: $3.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.31+20%
Q3 2026$2.76+58%
Q2 2026$2.20-21%
Q1 2026$2.22-18%
Q4 2025$1.96-16%
Q3 2025$1.75-24%
Q2 2025$2.78+136%
Q1 2025$2.71+132%
Q4 2024$2.34+144%

PLOW has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $200MQ3 2024: $129MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $194MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $200MQ3 2024: $129MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $194MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$218M+34%
Q2 2026$214.6M+10%
Q1 2026$137.8M+20%
Q4 2025$184.5M+29%
Q3 2025$162.1M+25%
Q2 2025$194.3M-2.8%
Q1 2025$115.1M+20%
Q4 2024$143.5M+6.9%

PLOW has the edge over NIO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over PLOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PLOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $836,000Q3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$26M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $836,000Q3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.2M-$14.8M
Q2 2026-$28.3M-$14M
Q1 2026-$4.2M-$657K
Q4 2025$92.8M+32%
Q3 2025-$11.4M+$3.8M
Q2 2025-$14.3M-1816%
Q1 2025-$3.5M+$18.9M
Q4 2024$70.2M-4.8%

PLOW has burned cash in most quarters: $34M over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

PLOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-57.2K shares
1 year-0.2%-37.9K shares
3 years+2.4%+549K shares
5 years+2.4%+548K shares
Available history+3.2%+720K shares

PLOW has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PLOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

PLOW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PLOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

PLOW's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPLOWSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %184729 pts below

PLOW is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

PLOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.03.8% below
20 week MA$41.79.9% below
50 week MA$41.79.9% below
100 week MA$34.87.7% above
200 week MA$31.519% above

PLOW has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

PLOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.3$42.3-24%
2021$42.3$38.7-8.7%
2022$38.7$35.7-7.8%
2023$35.7$29.7-17%
2024$29.7$23.3-21%
2025$23.3$33.4+43%
2026 YTD$33.4$37.5+12%

PLOW has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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