PLOW

Douglas Dynamics, Inc.

75
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation79/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PLOW's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 14x earnings, below its usual 21x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

PLOW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

PLOW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

PLOW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.6x15x23x30x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$37.54—
Cheap12x$34.13-9.1%
Current14x$37.54—
Fair21x$59.01+57%
Expensive25x$69.11+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLOW's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

PLOW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLOW, with profitability improving.

PLOW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$52.95
Downside-13%$32.67

Calculated from the latest close: $37.54 on Nov 12.

PLOW's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +41% against −13%.

PLOW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.96Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $2.30Q4 2024: $2.34Q1 2025: $2.71Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $1.75Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.22Q2 2026: $2.20Q3 2026: $2.76Forward: $3.31
Q4 2023: $0.96Q1 2024: $1.17Q2 2024: $1.18Q3 2024: $2.30Q4 2024: $2.34Q1 2025: $2.71Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $1.75Q4 2025: $1.96Q1 2026: $2.22Q2 2026: $2.20Q3 2026: $2.76Forward: $3.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.31+20%
Q3 2026$2.76+58%
Q2 2026$2.20-21%
Q1 2026$2.22-18%
Q4 2025$1.96-16%
Q3 2025$1.75-24%
Q2 2025$2.78+136%
Q1 2025$2.71+132%
Q4 2024$2.34+144%

PLOW earned $2.76 per share over the past year, up 58% from the year before.

PLOW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $200MQ3 2024: $129MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $194MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $134MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $200MQ3 2024: $129MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $194MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $138MQ2 2026: $215MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$218M+34%
Q2 2026$214.6M+10%
Q1 2026$137.8M+20%
Q4 2025$184.5M+29%
Q3 2025$162.1M+25%
Q2 2025$194.3M-2.8%
Q1 2025$115.1M+20%
Q4 2024$143.5M+6.9%

PLOW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $218M last quarter, up 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLOW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $836,000Q3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$26M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $836,000Q3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.2M-$14.8M
Q2 2026-$28.3M-$14M
Q1 2026-$4.2M-$657K
Q4 2025$92.8M+32%
Q3 2025-$11.4M+$3.8M
Q2 2025-$14.3M-1816%
Q1 2025-$3.5M+$18.9M
Q4 2024$70.2M-4.8%

PLOW has burned cash in most quarters: $34M over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

PLOW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-57.2K shares
1 year-0.2%-37.9K shares
3 years+2.4%+549K shares
5 years+2.4%+548K shares
Available history+3.2%+720K shares

PLOW has 24M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PLOW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

PLOW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PLOW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic11.8Oversold

PLOW's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

PLOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPLOWSector medianRelative
PE14x18x25% below
PE %184729 pts below

PLOW is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PLOW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.03.8% below
20 week MA$41.79.9% below
50 week MA$41.79.9% below
100 week MA$34.87.7% above
200 week MA$31.519% above

PLOW has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 19% above its 200-week average.

PLOW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.3$42.3-24%
2021$42.3$38.7-8.7%
2022$38.7$35.7-7.8%
2023$35.7$29.7-17%
2024$29.7$23.3-21%
2025$23.3$33.4+43%
2026 YTD$33.4$37.5+12%

PLOW has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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