NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over PATK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

PATK

Patrick Industries, Inc.

49
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PATK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PATK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

PATK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PATK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$25.09-68%
Fair16x$61.65-22%
Forward17x$78.59—
Current20x$78.59—
Expensive22x$85.00+8.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PATK's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over PATK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PATK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PATK, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails PATK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PATK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$103.45
Downside-17%$64.89

Calculated from the latest close: $78.59 on Nov 12.

PATK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

PATK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.70+22%
Q3 2026$3.84+10%
Q2 2026$4.21+14%
Q1 2026$3.89-6.5%
Q4 2025$3.90-5.1%
Q3 2025$3.49-25%
Q2 2025$3.68-21%
Q1 2025$4.16-7.3%
Q4 2024$4.11-5.1%

PATK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over PATK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PATK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$975.3M0%
Q2 2026$1B-0.6%
Q1 2026$997.2M-0.6%
Q4 2025$924.2M+9.2%
Q3 2025$975.6M+6.1%
Q2 2025$1B+3%
Q1 2025$1B+7.5%
Q4 2024$846.1M+8.3%

PATK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $975M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

PATK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.4M+$75.6M
Q2 2026$65.3M-50%
Q1 2026-$32.9M-265%
Q4 2025$112.7M+46%
Q3 2025-$17.2M-151%
Q2 2025$131.1M+8.7%
Q1 2025$19.9M+1.1%
Q4 2024$77.2M-25%

PATK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $203M over the past year.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

PATK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.9%-1.3M shares
1 year-6.9%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.5%-171K shares
5 years-7%-2.4M shares
Available history-6.5%-2.3M shares

PATK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PATK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

PATK's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PATK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

PATK's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PATK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPATKSector medianRelative
PE20x18x14% above
PE %744727 pts above

PATK is trading at 20x earnings, a 14% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

PATK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.410% above
20 week MA$78.00.7% above
50 week MA$97.119% below
100 week MA$95.818% below
200 week MA$80.62.5% below

PATK has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

PATK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$46.9+34%
2021$46.9$52.6+12%
2022$52.6$40.8-23%
2023$40.8$66.9+64%
2024$66.9$83.5+25%
2025$83.5$112.1+34%
2026 YTD$112.1$78.6-30%

PATK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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