NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited
OSW has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OSW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
OSW's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OSW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 24x | $30.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $23.09 | -25% |
| Fair | 33x | $27.31 | -11% |
| Current | 37x | $30.69 | — |
| Expensive | 41x | $34.47 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OSW's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over OSW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
OSW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSW, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
OSW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | +51% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.84 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.79 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.75 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.69 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.67 | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.63 | +133% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.69 | +$0.80 |
OSW has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OSW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $276.5M | +7% |
| Q2 2026 | $261.2M | +8.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $247.6M | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $242.1M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $258.5M | +7% |
| Q2 2025 | $240.7M | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $219.6M | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $217.2M | +11% |
OSW's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $277M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.2% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.8% | -1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.2% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.7% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9% | +1.4 points |
OSW has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
OSW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.6M | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $31M | +77% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.7M | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.9M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $27.6M | +0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $17.6M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.4M | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.2M | -8.7% |
OSW generated $94M in free cash flow over the past year, up 41% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
OSW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -617K shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +0.5% | +495K shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +11M shares |
| Available history | +36% | +26.7M shares |
OSW has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $379,000 |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $19.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $37.9M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
OSW spent $57M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 3.5% from the year before.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OSW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
OSW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
OSW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 89.8 | Overbought |
OSW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OSW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | OSW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37x | 18x | 103% above |
| PE % | 72 | 47 | 25 pts above |
OSW is trading at 37x earnings, a 103% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
OSW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $26.3 | 17% above |
| 20 week MA | $25.7 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.9 | 28% above |
| 100 week MA | $22.0 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $17.7 | 73% above |
OSW has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.
OSW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.9 | $9.03 | -47% |
| 2021 | $9.03 | $10.1 | +12% |
| 2022 | $10.1 | $9.45 | -6.6% |
| 2023 | $9.45 | $14.1 | +49% |
| 2024 | $14.1 | $20.0 | +42% |
| 2025 | $20.0 | $21.4 | +7% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.4 | $30.7 | +44% |
OSW has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.