NIC
Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.
NIC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over NIC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
NIC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
NIC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NIC.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
NIC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $108 | -38% |
| Forward | 13x | $174 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $125 | -28% |
| Expensive | 17x | $157 | -10% |
| Current | 19x | $174 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NIC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over NIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NIC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NIC, with profitability holding steady.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over NIC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NIC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +48% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.02 | -3.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.79 | +0.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.51 | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.78 | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.36 | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.73 | +26% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.31 | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.05 | +97% |
NIC has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
NIC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $174.4M | +70% |
| Q2 2026 | $177.8M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $134.9M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $104M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.9M | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $95.7M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $89.4M | +8.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $92.4M | +4.2% |
NIC's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $174M last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 47% | -3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | -31 points |
| Q4 2025 | 48% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 47% | +3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 45% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 47% | +4.6 points |
NIC has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over NIC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
NIC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $67.1M | +46% |
| Q2 2026 | $89.3M | +133% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.1M | -64% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.9M | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.4M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.3M | +106% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.1M | -19% |
NIC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
NIC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -186K shares |
| 1 year | +40% | +6.1M shares |
| 3 years | +44% | +6.6M shares |
| 5 years | +109% | +11.2M shares |
| Available history | +118% | +11.6M shares |
NIC has 22M diluted shares, up 40% from a year ago, despite $103M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $40M |
| Q2 2026 | $40.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $20.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $30M |
| Q1 2025 | $26M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.1M |
NIC spent $103M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has the edge over NIC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
NIC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
NIC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NIC.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over NIC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NIC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 64.4 | Neutral |
NIC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
NIC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | NIC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 48% above |
| PE % | 90 | 63 | 27 pts above |
NIC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
NIC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $169.0 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $170.0 | 2.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $153.9 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $137.3 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $108.8 | 60% above |
NIC has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
NIC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $74.6 | $68.0 | -8.9% |
| 2021 | $68.0 | $87.0 | +28% |
| 2022 | $87.0 | $80.9 | -6.9% |
| 2023 | $80.9 | $80.5 | -0.6% |
| 2024 | $80.5 | $104.6 | +30% |
| 2025 | $104.6 | $123.7 | +18% |
| 2026 YTD | $123.7 | $174.1 | +41% |
NIC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.