NIC

Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.

51
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

NIC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, above its usual 14x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

NIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NIC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NIC.

NIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$108-38%
Forward13x$174—
Fair14x$125-28%
Expensive17x$157-10%
Current19x$174—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NIC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NIC, with profitability holding steady.

NIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$213.87
Downside-14%$149.08

Calculated from the latest close: $174.12 on Nov 12.

NIC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +23% against −14%.

NIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $6.51Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $8.05Q1 2025: $8.31Q2 2025: $8.73Q3 2025: $9.36Q4 2025: $9.78Q1 2026: $8.51Q2 2026: $8.79Q3 2026: $9.02Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $4.08Q1 2024: $6.51Q2 2024: $6.92Q3 2024: $7.88Q4 2024: $8.05Q1 2025: $8.31Q2 2025: $8.73Q3 2025: $9.36Q4 2025: $9.78Q1 2026: $8.51Q2 2026: $8.79Q3 2026: $9.02Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+48%
Q3 2026$9.02-3.6%
Q2 2026$8.79+0.7%
Q1 2026$8.51+2.4%
Q4 2025$9.78+21%
Q3 2025$9.36+19%
Q2 2025$8.73+26%
Q1 2025$8.31+28%
Q4 2024$8.05+97%

NIC earned $9.02 per share over the past year, down 3.6% from the year before.

NIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $135MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $89MQ1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: $91MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $135MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$174.4M+70%
Q2 2026$177.8M+86%
Q1 2026$134.9M+51%
Q4 2025$104M+13%
Q3 2025$102.9M+13%
Q2 2025$95.7M+13%
Q1 2025$89.4M+8.8%
Q4 2024$92.4M+4.2%

NIC's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $174M last quarter, up 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.1M+46%
Q2 2026$89.3M+133%
Q1 2026$15.1M-64%
Q4 2025$23.9M-15%
Q3 2025$45.9M+32%
Q2 2025$38.4M+12%
Q1 2025$41.3M+106%
Q4 2024$28.1M-19%

NIC's free cash flow was $195M over the past year, up 27% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NIC.

NIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-186K shares
1 year+40%+6.1M shares
3 years+44%+6.6M shares
5 years+109%+11.2M shares
Available history+118%+11.6M shares

NIC has 22M diluted shares, up 40% from a year ago, despite $103M in buybacks over the past year.

NIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

NIC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NIC.

NIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic64.4Neutral

NIC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

NIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNICSector medianRelative
PE19x13x48% above
PE %906327 pts above

NIC is trading at 19x earnings, a 48% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$169.03.1% above
20 week MA$170.02.4% above
50 week MA$153.913% above
100 week MA$137.327% above
200 week MA$108.860% above

NIC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% above its 200-week average.

NIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.6$68.0-8.9%
2021$68.0$87.0+28%
2022$87.0$80.9-6.9%
2023$80.9$80.5-0.6%
2024$80.5$104.6+30%
2025$104.6$123.7+18%
2026 YTD$123.7$174.1+41%

NIC is up 41% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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