NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over TLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TLK

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

49
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

TLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TLK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

TLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.5x$11.49—
Cheap12x$14.58+27%
Fair15x$18.56+62%
Expensive17x$20.71+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TLK has the edge over NFLX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over TLK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

TLK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TLK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$14.27
Downside-20%$9.24

Calculated from the latest close: $11.49 on Nov 12.

TLK trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over TLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.21-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.90-31%
Q4 2025$0.99-24%
Q3 2025$1.21-4%
Q2 2025$1.27-3.1%
Q1 2025$1.30-3%
Q4 2024$1.31-3.7%
Q3 2024$1.26-3.8%

TLK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.21 over the past year, against $1.70 in mid-2022.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over TLK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.2B+109%
Q1 2026$2B+1.5%
Q4 2025$2B-1.7%
Q3 2025$2B-0.9%
Q2 2025$2B-4%
Q1 2025$2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.1B-0.6%
Q3 2024$2B-2.2%

TLK's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $4.2B last quarter, up 109% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

TLK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$663.7M+20%
Q1 2026$674.9M+5.3%
Q4 2025$374.3M-16%
Q3 2025$562.1M+1.5%
Q2 2025$554M+44%
Q1 2025$641.2M+13%
Q4 2024$446.3M+17%
Q3 2024$553.8M+11%

TLK's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.3B over the past year, up 3.6% from the year before.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over TLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1.4M shares
1 year-0.2%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
5 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
Available history-0.2%-2.4M shares

TLK has 988M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TLK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

TLK has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic21.4Neutral

TLK's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

TLK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTLKSector medianRelative
PE9.5x16x42% below
PE %12625 pts below

TLK has the edge over NFLX on valuation relative to its sector.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

TLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.03.9% below
20 week MA$13.515% below
50 week MA$16.731% below
100 week MA$17.032% below
200 week MA$20.043% below

TLK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 43% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over TLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.4$23.6-17%
2021$23.6$28.8+22%
2022$28.8$24.0-17%
2023$24.0$25.8+7.2%
2024$25.8$16.6-36%
2025$16.6$21.2+28%
2026 YTD$21.2$11.5-46%

TLK has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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