NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX has the edge over STGW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
STGW
Stagwell Inc.
STGW's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
NFLX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
STGW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
STGW's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
NFLX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $62.69 | — |
| Current | 18x | $62.69 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $94.95 | +51% |
| Fair | 47x | $161 | +157% |
| Expensive | 81x | $281 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NFLX has the edge over STGW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STGW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.1x | $11.15 | — |
| Cheap | 38x | $1.52 | -86% |
| Fair | 92x | $3.68 | -67% |
| Expensive | 145x | $5.81 | -48% |
| Current | 279x | $11.15 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STGW's PE is in its expensive range at 279x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NFLX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.
STGW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STGW, with profitability holding steady.
NFLX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.58 | +3.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.46 | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.18 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.10 | +46% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.53 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.39 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.35 | +47% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.12 | +47% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.98 | +65% |
NFLX has the edge over STGW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
STGW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.22 | +2958% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.06 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.07 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.08 | +300% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.06 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.00 | +$0.04 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | +$0.07 |
STGW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.04 over the past year, against $0.25 in late 2022.
NFLX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.2B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.5B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.5B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.2B | +16% |
NFLX has the edge over STGW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 33% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 25% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +6.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 32% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +5.2 points |
NFLX has the edge over STGW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STGW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $786.3M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $704.1M | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $807.4M | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $743M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $706.8M | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $651.7M | -2.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $788.7M | +20% |
STGW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $816M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.2% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.5% | +2.6 points |
STGW's operating margin was 5.9% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NFLX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.1B | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.3B | +87% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -13% |
NFLX has the edge over STGW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
STGW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.8M | +$121.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $79.2M | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | -$37.2M | +$26.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $242.9M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$38.8M | -$34.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $107.1M | +$130.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$63.9M | -$5.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $209.9M | +1.6% |
STGW generated $368M in free cash flow over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
NFLX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.6% | -66.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -145M shares |
| 3 years | -6.8% | -305M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -354M shares |
| Available history | -7.1% | -323M shares |
NFLX has 4.2B diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $12.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.7B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $963.7M |
NFLX spent $12.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 61% from the year before.
STGW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.1% | +5.1M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -8.6M shares |
| 3 years | +117% | +136M shares |
| 5 years | +233% | +176M shares |
| Available history | +263% | +182M shares |
STGW has 251M diluted shares, down 3.3% from a year ago, with $120M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $47.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $29.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $56.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $7M |
STGW spent $120M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 6.8% from the year before.
NFLX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.7x | Very low |
NFLX has the edge over STGW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
STGW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
STGW's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
NFLX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
STGW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 73.6 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 89.5 | Overbought |
STGW's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NFLX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 16x | 9.8% above |
| PE % | 4 | 26 | 22 pts below |
NFLX has the edge over STGW on valuation relative to its sector.
STGW PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | STGW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 279x | 16x | 1,590% above |
| PE % | 95 | 26 | 69 pts above |
STGW is trading at 279x earnings, a 1590% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
NFLX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $66.6 | 5.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.8 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.4 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $96.0 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $74.4 | 16% below |
NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
STGW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.57 | 17% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.82 | 26% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.12 | 57% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.30 | 77% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.35 | 76% above |
STGW has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NFLX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.9 | $51.4 | +56% |
| 2021 | $51.4 | $61.4 | +19% |
| 2022 | $61.4 | $29.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $29.5 | $48.7 | +65% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $90.8 | +86% |
| 2025 | $90.8 | $94.5 | +4.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $94.5 | $62.7 | -34% |
NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
STGW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.70 | $2.66 | -1.5% |
| 2021 | $2.66 | $8.98 | +238% |
| 2022 | $8.98 | $6.27 | -30% |
| 2023 | $6.27 | $6.63 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $6.63 | $6.64 | +0.2% |
| 2025 | $6.64 | $4.98 | -25% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.98 | $11.2 | +124% |
STGW has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.