NCMI
National CineMedia, Inc.
NCMI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over NCMI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NCMI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NCMI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is weak.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NCMI PE Valuation
NCMI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NCMI Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for NCMI to show an outlook.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NCMI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.30 | -$0.15 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.10 | +$0.11 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.10 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.11 | +$0.12 |
| Q3 2023 | $31.89 | +$35.09 |
| Q2 2023 | $27.90 | +$31.90 |
| Q1 2023 | -$3.50 | +$3.20 |
| Q4 2022 | -$3.50 | +$2.60 |
RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 300% for NCMI versus RDDT down 39%.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NCMI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $61.4M | -3.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $58.4M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $34M | -2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $93.2M | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $63.4M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $51.8M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $34.9M | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $86.3M | -5% |
NCMI's revenue is growing: $61M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -35% | -32 points |
| Q2 2026 | -22% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -79% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.8% | +9.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -23% | -6.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -68% | -7.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | +0.6 points |
NCMI's operating margin was −35% last quarter, down 32 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over NCMI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over NCMI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NCMI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.3M | -$1.3M |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.2M | +$4.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $17.8M | +236% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.1M | -78% |
| Q3 2025 | -$2M | +$600K |
| Q2 2025 | -$6.6M | -203% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.3M | -77% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.1M | +101% |
NCMI usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$3M, but it generated $18M over the past year.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over NCMI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NCMI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +355K shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -260K shares |
| 3 years | +440% | +76.6M shares |
| 5 years | +1098% | +86.2M shares |
| Available history | +1109% | +86.3M shares |
NCMI has 94M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $200,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $1M |
| Q4 2025 | $3.3M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $9.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $2M |
NCMI spent $5M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 78% from the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has the edge over NCMI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
NCMI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -11.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
NCMI has the edge over RDDT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has more cash than debt.
NCMI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.4 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.9 | Oversold |
NCMI's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NCMI PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NCMI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 16x | — |
NCMI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
NCMI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.92 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.69 | 37% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.19 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.24 | 60% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.33 | 61% below |
RDDT has stronger trend alignment. NCMI is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.
NCMI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $73.0 | $37.7 | -48% |
| 2021 | $37.7 | $28.6 | -24% |
| 2022 | $28.6 | $2.75 | -90% |
| 2023 | $2.75 | $4.14 | +51% |
| 2024 | $4.14 | $6.61 | +60% |
| 2025 | $6.61 | $3.92 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.92 | $1.70 | -57% |
NCMI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 57% so far in 2026.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has the edge over NCMI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.