NCMI

National CineMedia, Inc.

50
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

NCMI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now.

NCMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Stable
Strong

NCMI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is weak.

NCMI PE Valuation

NCMI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCMI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NCMI to show an outlook.

NCMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$2.55
Downside-33%$1.14

Calculated from the latest close: $1.70 on Nov 12.

NCMI's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +50% against −33%.

NCMI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.21Q3 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.10Q3 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $-0.30
Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.21Q3 2025: $-0.15Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.10Q3 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $-0.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.30-$0.15
Q2 2026-$0.10+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.10+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.11+$0.12
Q3 2023$31.89+$35.09
Q2 2023$27.90+$31.90
Q1 2023-$3.50+$3.20
Q4 2022-$3.50+$2.60

NCMI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.30 per share over the past year, against $11.70 at its worst in late 2021.

NCMI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $58MQ4 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $93MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $58MQ4 2026: $61M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$61.4M-3.2%
Q2 2026$58.4M+13%
Q1 2026$34M-2.6%
Q4 2025$93.2M+8%
Q3 2025$63.4M+1.6%
Q2 2025$51.8M-5.3%
Q1 2025$34.9M-6.7%
Q4 2024$86.3M-5%

NCMI's revenue is growing: $61M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NCMI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$2MQ4 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: −$7MQ3 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$2MQ4 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.3M-$1.3M
Q2 2026-$2.2M+$4.4M
Q1 2026$17.8M+236%
Q4 2025$6.1M-78%
Q3 2025-$2M+$600K
Q2 2025-$6.6M-203%
Q1 2025$5.3M-77%
Q4 2024$28.1M+101%

NCMI usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$3M, but it generated $18M over the past year.

NCMI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94MQ4 2026: 94M
Q1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 96MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 96MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 94MQ3 2025: 94MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94MQ4 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+355K shares
1 year-0.3%-260K shares
3 years+440%+76.6M shares
5 years+1098%+86.2M shares
Available history+1109%+86.3M shares

NCMI has 94M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NCMI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -5.8xQ2 2024: -3.1xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.6xQ4 2026: -11.5x
Q1 2024: -5.8xQ2 2024: -3.1xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -2.8xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -1.6xQ4 2026: -11.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-11.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.9xNet Cash

NCMI has more cash than debt.

NCMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.4Oversold
Stochastic5.9Oversold

NCMI's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

NCMI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNCMISector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

NCMI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.9211% below
20 week MA$2.6937% below
50 week MA$3.1947% below
100 week MA$4.2460% below
200 week MA$4.3361% below

NCMI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 61% below its 200-week average.

NCMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$73.0$37.7-48%
2021$37.7$28.6-24%
2022$28.6$2.75-90%
2023$2.75$4.14+51%
2024$4.14$6.61+60%
2025$6.61$3.92-41%
2026 YTD$3.92$1.70-57%

NCMI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 57% so far in 2026.

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