NBTB
NBT Bancorp Inc.
NBTB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over NBTB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NBTB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
NBTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBTB.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
NBTB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $45.27 | -14% |
| Forward | 12x | $52.72 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $54.56 | +3.5% |
| Current | 13x | $52.72 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $62.58 | +19% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NBTB's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over NBTB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NBTB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NBTB, with profitability improving.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.
NBTB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.46 | +6.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.20 | +40% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.12 | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.54 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.33 | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.01 | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.78 | +8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.03 | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.97 | +12% |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
NBTB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $195M | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $186.7M | +9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $184.5M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $185.1M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $186.1M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $171.2M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $154.7M | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $148.5M | +7.9% |
NBTB's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $195M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 38% | +7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | +1.8 points |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over NBTB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
NBTB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $74.4M | +0.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.5M | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $48.6M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $62.1M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.3M | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.3M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $45.5M | +39% |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
NBTB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -21K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -466K shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +6.8M shares |
| 5 years | +20% | +8.6M shares |
| Available history | +19% | +8.1M shares |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1M |
| Q2 2026 | $3M |
| Q1 2026 | $11M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.2M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
NBTB spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
NBTB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
NBTB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NBTB.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over NBTB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NBTB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.8 | Neutral |
NBTB's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
NBTB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | NBTB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 3.6% below |
| PE % | 41 | 63 | 22 pts below |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
NBTB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $51.8 | 1.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $51.9 | 1.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $47.3 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $45.3 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $41.8 | 26% above |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
NBTB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.7 | $31.9 | -22% |
| 2021 | $31.9 | $38.0 | +19% |
| 2022 | $38.0 | $43.4 | +14% |
| 2023 | $43.4 | $41.9 | -3.4% |
| 2024 | $41.9 | $48.4 | +16% |
| 2025 | $48.4 | $42.7 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.7 | $52.7 | +23% |
NBTB has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.