NBTB

NBT Bancorp Inc.

63
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

NBTB's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 8 points to 37% and revenue grew 14%. At 13x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

NBTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

NBTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NBTB.

NBTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$45.27-14%
Forward12x$52.72—
Fair13x$54.56+3.5%
Current13x$52.72—
Expensive15x$62.58+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBTB's PE is in its fair range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NBTB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NBTB, with profitability improving.

NBTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$63.81
Downside-13%$46.06

Calculated from the latest close: $52.72 on Nov 12.

NBTB's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +21% against −13%.

NBTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.65Q1 2024: $2.58Q2 2024: $2.57Q3 2024: $2.83Q4 2024: $2.97Q1 2025: $3.03Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $3.01Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.54Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.20Forward: $4.46
Q4 2023: $2.65Q1 2024: $2.58Q2 2024: $2.57Q3 2024: $2.83Q4 2024: $2.97Q1 2025: $3.03Q2 2025: $2.78Q3 2025: $3.01Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.54Q2 2026: $4.12Q3 2026: $4.20Forward: $4.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.46+6.2%
Q3 2026$4.20+40%
Q2 2026$4.12+48%
Q1 2026$3.54+17%
Q4 2025$3.33+12%
Q3 2025$3.01+6.4%
Q2 2025$2.78+8.2%
Q1 2025$3.03+17%
Q4 2024$2.97+12%

NBTB's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.20 over the past year, up 40% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

NBTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $140MQ3 2024: $147MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $155MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $140MQ3 2024: $147MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $155MQ2 2025: $171MQ3 2025: $186MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $184MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$195M+4.8%
Q2 2026$186.7M+9.1%
Q1 2026$184.5M+19%
Q4 2025$185.1M+25%
Q3 2025$186.1M+26%
Q2 2025$171.2M+22%
Q1 2025$154.7M+10%
Q4 2024$148.5M+7.9%

NBTB's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $195M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

NBTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $61MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$74.4M+0.1%
Q2 2026$60.5M+37%
Q1 2026$48.6M+27%
Q4 2025$62.1M+36%
Q3 2025$74.3M+55%
Q2 2025$44.1M-10%
Q1 2025$38.3M+12%
Q4 2024$45.5M+39%

NBTB's free cash flow was $246M over the past year, up 21% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NBTB.

NBTB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 52MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-21K shares
1 year-0.9%-466K shares
3 years+15%+6.8M shares
5 years+20%+8.6M shares
Available history+19%+8.1M shares

NBTB has 52M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

NBTB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.6xVery low

NBTB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NBTB.

NBTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.2Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

NBTB's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

NBTB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNBTBSector medianRelative
PE13x13x3.6% below
PE %416322 pts below

NBTB is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NBTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.81.7% above
20 week MA$51.91.6% above
50 week MA$47.311% above
100 week MA$45.316% above
200 week MA$41.826% above

NBTB is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% above its 200-week average.

NBTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.7$31.9-22%
2021$31.9$38.0+19%
2022$38.0$43.4+14%
2023$43.4$41.9-3.4%
2024$41.9$48.4+16%
2025$48.4$42.7-12%
2026 YTD$42.7$52.7+23%

NBTB has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 23% so far in 2026.

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