NBIX
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.
NBIX has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
UNH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
NBIX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NBIX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
UNH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NBIX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $169 | — |
| Cheap | 25x | $169 | -0.3% |
| Current | 25x | $169 | — |
| Fair | 44x | $297 | +75% |
| Expensive | 145x | $981 | +479% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NBIX has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
UNH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 18x | $405 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $325 | -20% |
| Fair | 23x | $410 | +1.2% |
| Current | 23x | $405 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $526 | +30% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NBIX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
UNH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NBIX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.06 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.75 | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.83 | +102% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.50 | +120% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.67 | +42% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.18 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.38 | +0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.95 | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.29 | +33% |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UNH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.65 | +29% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.55 | -8.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.58 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.28 | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.23 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.17 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.09 | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.89 | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.51 | -35% |
UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.
NBIX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $959M | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $814.5M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $805.5M | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $794.9M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $687.5M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $572.6M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $627.7M | +22% |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -5.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +3.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +0.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.1% | -15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | -6.6 points |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
UNH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $112.7B | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $112B | +0.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $111.7B | +2% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.2B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $113.2B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $111.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $109.6B | +9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.8B | +6.8% |
UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -3.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.7% | -0.4 points |
UNH's operating margin was 5.8% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NBIX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $383.6M | +79% |
| Q2 2026 | $128.6M | +44% |
| Q1 2026 | $136.7M | +153% |
| Q4 2025 | $390.8M | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $214.3M | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $89.5M | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $54.1M | -55% |
| Q4 2024 | $235.2M | +99% |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
UNH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.3B | +63% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.1B | +79% |
| Q4 2025 | $160M | -89% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.1B | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +1037% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +$7.6B |
UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.
NBIX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +2.6% | +2.7M shares |
| 3 years | +4.1% | +4.1M shares |
| 5 years | +7.7% | +7.5M shares |
| Available history | +8.2% | +8M shares |
NBIX has 105M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $12M |
| Q1 2026 | $54M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $17.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $150M |
NBIX spent $158M buying back its own shares over the past year.
UNH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -6M shares |
| 3 years | -3.6% | -34M shares |
| 5 years | -5.5% | -53M shares |
| Available history | -6.6% | -64M shares |
UNH has the edge over NBIX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $3B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
UNH spent $5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 52% from the year before.
NBIX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
UNH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
NBIX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.8 | Neutral |
NBIX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
UNH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 60.0 | Neutral |
UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).
NBIX PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NBIX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 26x | 2.9% below |
| PE % | 17 | 29 | 12 pts below |
NBIX is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | UNH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 26x | 11% below |
| PE % | 47 | 29 | 18 pts above |
UNH has the edge over NBIX on valuation relative to its sector.
NBIX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $147.8 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $156.4 | 8.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $147.5 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $138.4 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $128.9 | 31% above |
NBIX has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
UNH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $394.2 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $400.5 | 1.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $361.2 | 12% above |
| 100 week MA | $376.0 | 7.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $446.6 | 9.3% below |
UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.
NBIX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $108.4 | $97.7 | -9.9% |
| 2021 | $97.7 | $85.1 | -13% |
| 2022 | $85.1 | $120.3 | +41% |
| 2023 | $120.3 | $131.8 | +9.5% |
| 2024 | $131.8 | $139.4 | +5.8% |
| 2025 | $139.4 | $145.3 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $145.3 | $169.4 | +17% |
NBIX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.
UNH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $296.0 | $340.8 | +15% |
| 2021 | $340.8 | $495.4 | +45% |
| 2022 | $495.4 | $531.3 | +7.3% |
| 2023 | $531.3 | $526.5 | -0.9% |
| 2024 | $526.5 | $510.0 | -3.1% |
| 2025 | $510.0 | $331.8 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $331.8 | $405.1 | +22% |
UNH has the edge over NBIX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.