NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.

80
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NBIX's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 25x earnings, below its usual 45x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

NBIX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NBIX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NBIX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1002x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1002x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$169—
Cheap25x$169-0.3%
Current25x$169—
Fair44x$297+75%
Expensive145x$981+479%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIX's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

NBIX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NBIX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NBIX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$223.19
Downside-11%$150.90

Calculated from the latest close: $169.40 on Nov 12.

NBIX's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +32% against −11%.

NBIX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $3.68Q2 2024: $3.36Q3 2024: $3.78Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $4.18Q4 2025: $4.67Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $6.83Q3 2026: $6.75Forward: $9.06
Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $3.68Q2 2024: $3.36Q3 2024: $3.78Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $4.18Q4 2025: $4.67Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $6.83Q3 2026: $6.75Forward: $9.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.06+34%
Q3 2026$6.75+61%
Q2 2026$6.83+102%
Q1 2026$6.50+120%
Q4 2025$4.67+42%
Q3 2025$4.18+11%
Q2 2025$3.38+0.6%
Q1 2025$2.95-20%
Q4 2024$3.29+33%

NBIX earned $6.75 per share over the past year, up 61% from the year before.

NBIX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $515MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $590MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $573MQ2 2025: $688MQ3 2025: $795MQ4 2025: $806MQ1 2026: $815MQ2 2026: $959MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $515MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $590MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $573MQ2 2025: $688MQ3 2025: $795MQ4 2025: $806MQ1 2026: $815MQ2 2026: $959MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+41%
Q2 2026$959M+39%
Q1 2026$814.5M+42%
Q4 2025$805.5M+28%
Q3 2025$794.9M+28%
Q2 2025$687.5M+16%
Q1 2025$572.6M+11%
Q4 2024$627.7M+22%

NBIX's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

NBIX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $118MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $90MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $391MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $384M
Q4 2023: $118MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $90MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $391MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $384M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$383.6M+79%
Q2 2026$128.6M+44%
Q1 2026$136.7M+153%
Q4 2025$390.8M+66%
Q3 2025$214.3M+43%
Q2 2025$89.5M+69%
Q1 2025$54.1M-55%
Q4 2024$235.2M+99%

NBIX generated $1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 75% from the year before.

NBIX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1M shares
1 year+2.6%+2.7M shares
3 years+4.1%+4.1M shares
5 years+7.7%+7.5M shares
Available history+8.2%+8M shares

NBIX has 105M diluted shares, up 2.6% from a year ago.

NBIX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NBIX has more cash than debt.

NBIX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.7Neutral
Stochastic65.8Neutral

NBIX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

NBIX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNBIXSector medianRelative
PE25x26x2.9% below
PE %172912 pts below

NBIX is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NBIX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.815% above
20 week MA$156.48.3% above
50 week MA$147.515% above
100 week MA$138.422% above
200 week MA$128.931% above

NBIX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% above its 200-week average.

NBIX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.4$97.7-9.9%
2021$97.7$85.1-13%
2022$85.1$120.3+41%
2023$120.3$131.8+9.5%
2024$131.8$139.4+5.8%
2025$139.4$145.3+4.2%
2026 YTD$145.3$169.4+17%

NBIX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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