NBIX

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.

80
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

NBIX has the edge over OSCR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NBIX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NBIX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NBIX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1002x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE250x501x751x1002x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$169—
Cheap25x$169-0.3%
Current25x$169—
Fair44x$297+75%
Expensive145x$981+479%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIX's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over NBIX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBIX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NBIX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

NBIX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$223.19
Downside-11%$150.90

Calculated from the latest close: $169.40 on Nov 12.

NBIX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails NBIX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NBIX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $3.68Q2 2024: $3.36Q3 2024: $3.78Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $4.18Q4 2025: $4.67Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $6.83Q3 2026: $6.75Forward: $9.06
Q4 2023: $2.47Q1 2024: $3.68Q2 2024: $3.36Q3 2024: $3.78Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $3.38Q3 2025: $4.18Q4 2025: $4.67Q1 2026: $6.50Q2 2026: $6.83Q3 2026: $6.75Forward: $9.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.06+34%
Q3 2026$6.75+61%
Q2 2026$6.83+102%
Q1 2026$6.50+120%
Q4 2025$4.67+42%
Q3 2025$4.18+11%
Q2 2025$3.38+0.6%
Q1 2025$2.95-20%
Q4 2024$3.29+33%

NBIX has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NBIX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $515MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $590MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $573MQ2 2025: $688MQ3 2025: $795MQ4 2025: $806MQ1 2026: $815MQ2 2026: $959MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $515MQ1 2024: $515MQ2 2024: $590MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $628MQ1 2025: $573MQ2 2025: $688MQ3 2025: $795MQ4 2025: $806MQ1 2026: $815MQ2 2026: $959MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+41%
Q2 2026$959M+39%
Q1 2026$814.5M+42%
Q4 2025$805.5M+28%
Q3 2025$794.9M+28%
Q2 2025$687.5M+16%
Q1 2025$572.6M+11%
Q4 2024$627.7M+22%

NBIX's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 41% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over NBIX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NBIX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $118MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $90MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $391MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $384M
Q4 2023: $118MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $90MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $391MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $384M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$383.6M+79%
Q2 2026$128.6M+44%
Q1 2026$136.7M+153%
Q4 2025$390.8M+66%
Q3 2025$214.3M+43%
Q2 2025$89.5M+69%
Q1 2025$54.1M-55%
Q4 2024$235.2M+99%

NBIX has the edge over OSCR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

NBIX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 103MQ2 2026: 104MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1M shares
1 year+2.6%+2.7M shares
3 years+4.1%+4.1M shares
5 years+7.7%+7.5M shares
Available history+8.2%+8M shares

NBIX has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

NBIX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

NBIX has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over NBIX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NBIX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.7Neutral
Stochastic65.8Neutral

NBIX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

NBIX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNBIXSector medianRelative
PE25x26x2.9% below
PE %172912 pts below

NBIX is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over NBIX on valuation relative to its sector.

NBIX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.815% above
20 week MA$156.48.3% above
50 week MA$147.515% above
100 week MA$138.422% above
200 week MA$128.931% above

NBIX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

NBIX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.4$97.7-9.9%
2021$97.7$85.1-13%
2022$85.1$120.3+41%
2023$120.3$131.8+9.5%
2024$131.8$139.4+5.8%
2025$139.4$145.3+4.2%
2026 YTD$145.3$169.4+17%

NBIX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over NBIX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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