NBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.

WMG

Warner Music Group Corp.

77
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation77/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

WMG's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 25x earnings, below its usual 36x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

NBIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

WMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Stable

WMG's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NBIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap68x$22.45-83%
Fair114x$37.67-71%
Current390x$129—
Expensive666x$220+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

WMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$31.67—
Current25x$31.67—
Cheap31x$39.57+25%
Fair36x$46.67+47%
Expensive44x$57.23+81%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WMG has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NBIS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

WMG has the edge over NBIS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

NBIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $128.64 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NBIS and WMG's risk to reward.

WMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$45.88
Downside-10%$28.46

Calculated from the latest close: $31.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NBIS and WMG's risk to reward.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.33+$2.61
Q4 2024-$2.28-456%
Q4 2023$0.64-36%
Q4 2022$1.00+$1.49
Q4 2021-$0.49-156%
Q4 2020$0.87+89%
Q4 2019$0.46-73%
Q4 2018$1.71+434%

NBIS has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

WMG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.85Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.97Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.29Forward: $1.72
Q3 2023: $0.85Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $1.02Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.82Q4 2024: $0.97Q1 2025: $0.86Q2 2025: $0.57Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.59Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.29Forward: $1.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.72+33%
Q2 2026$1.29+126%
Q1 2026$0.87+1.2%
Q4 2025$0.59-39%
Q3 2025$0.70-15%
Q2 2025$0.57-45%
Q1 2025$0.86-16%
Q4 2024$0.97+6.6%
Q3 2024$0.82-3.5%

WMG has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$9.7B+53%
Q4 2022$6.3B+46%
Q4 2021$4.3B+63%
Q4 2020$2.6B+24%
Q4 2019$2.1B+37%
Q4 2018$1.5B+36%
Q4 2017$1.1B+24%
Q4 2016$917M+27%

NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

WMG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.6BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9B
Q3 2023: $1.6BQ4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.9B+10%
Q1 2026$1.7B+17%
Q4 2025$1.8B+10%
Q3 2025$1.9B+15%
Q2 2025$1.7B+8.7%
Q1 2025$1.5B-0.7%
Q4 2024$1.7B-4.7%
Q3 2024$1.6B+2.8%

WMG has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$3.7B-$3.1B
Q4 2024-$562.1M-$316.2M
Q4 2023-$245.9M-$138.9M
Q4 2022-$107M+$319.7M
Q4 2021-$426.7M-539%
Q4 2020$97.3M-66%
Q4 2019$287.9M+$289.2M
Q4 2018-$1.3M-101%

NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.

WMG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $239MQ4 2023: $205MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $114M
Q3 2023: $239MQ4 2023: $205MQ1 2024: −$80MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $207MQ4 2024: $296MQ1 2025: −$46MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $114M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$114M+1529%
Q1 2026$107M+$153M
Q4 2025$390M+32%
Q3 2025$203M-1.9%
Q2 2025$7M-96%
Q1 2025-$46M+$34M
Q4 2024$296M+44%
Q3 2024$207M-13%

WMG generated $814M in free cash flow over the past year, up 75% from the year before.

NBIS Total Shares

Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-12%-33.3M shares
1 year-32%-115M shares
3 years-26%-86.9M shares

NBIS has the edge over WMG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WMG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 516MQ4 2023: 516MQ1 2024: 518MQ2 2024: 518MQ3 2024: 518MQ4 2024: 518MQ1 2025: 520MQ2 2025: 521MQ3 2025: 519MQ4 2025: 519MQ1 2026: 519MQ2 2026: 524M
Q3 2023: 516MQ4 2023: 516MQ1 2024: 518MQ2 2024: 518MQ3 2024: 518MQ4 2024: 518MQ1 2025: 520MQ2 2025: 521MQ3 2025: 519MQ4 2025: 519MQ1 2026: 519MQ2 2026: 524M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+5.4M shares
1 year+0.6%+3.2M shares
3 years+1.6%+8.5M shares
5 years+2%+10.1M shares
Available history+4.5%+22.4M shares

WMG has 524M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

NBIS Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20230.7xVery low
Q4 2022-0.7xNet Cash

NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

WMG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.3xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.0x
Q3 2023: 3.3xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20254.2xHigh
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.0xModerate
Q3 20243.3xElevated

WMG's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.

NBIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

WMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.0Neutral
Stochastic80.8Overbought

WMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNBISSector medianRelative
PE390x16x2,264% above
PE %622438 pts above

NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

WMG PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWMGSector medianRelative
PE25x16x49% above
PE %22523 pts below

WMG has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$179.728% below
20 week MA$199.936% below
50 week MA$163.521% below
100 week MA$110.017% above

WMG has stronger trend alignment. NBIS is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus WMG above 5 of 5.

WMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.86.2% above
20 week MA$28.511% above
50 week MA$28.99.6% above
100 week MA$29.96% above
200 week MA$30.82.9% above

WMG has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 2.9% above its 200-week average.

NBIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$19.6$27.3+40%
2025$27.3$87.6+221%
2026 YTD$87.6$128.6+47%

NBIS has the edge over WMG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.9$37.5+25%
2021$37.5$43.5+16%
2022$43.5$35.6-18%
2023$35.6$35.8+0.5%
2024$35.8$31.5-12%
2025$31.5$30.0-4.8%
2026 YTD$30.0$31.7+5.7%

WMG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 5.7% so far in 2026.

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