NBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.

TKO

TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

TKO's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 52x earnings, below its usual 78x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

NBIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

TKO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

TKO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

NBIS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE226x452x678x904x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap68x$22.45-83%
Fair114x$37.67-71%
Current390x$129—
Expensive666x$220+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TKO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2164x4327x6491x8654x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2164x4327x6491x8654x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$194—
Current52x$194—
Cheap65x$243+25%
Fair78x$290+49%
Expensive88x$325+68%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TKO has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NBIS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TKO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

TKO has the edge over NBIS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

NBIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $128.64 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NBIS and TKO's risk to reward.

TKO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$250.96
Downside-14%$166.21

Calculated from the latest close: $194.08 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare NBIS and TKO's risk to reward.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
Q4 2014: $0.63Q4 2015: $0.36Q4 2016: $0.25Q4 2017: $0.32Q4 2018: $1.71Q4 2019: $0.46Q4 2020: $0.87Q4 2021: $-0.49Q4 2022: $1.00Q4 2023: $0.64Q4 2024: $-2.28Q4 2025: $0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$0.33+$2.61
Q4 2024-$2.28-456%
Q4 2023$0.64-36%
Q4 2022$1.00+$1.49
Q4 2021-$0.49-156%
Q4 2020$0.87+89%
Q4 2019$0.46-73%
Q4 2018$1.71+434%

NBIS has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

TKO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.07Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.19Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.85Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $7.51
Q4 2023: $1.07Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.19Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $0.02Q1 2025: $1.97Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.61Q4 2025: $2.25Q1 2026: $2.68Q2 2026: $2.85Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $7.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.51+102%
Q3 2026$3.71+42%
Q2 2026$2.85+18%
Q1 2026$2.68+36%
Q4 2025$2.25+11150%
Q3 2025$2.61+$3.26
Q2 2025$2.42+$3.61
Q1 2025$1.97+$3.21
Q4 2024$0.02-98%

TKO has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
Q4 2014: $613MQ4 2015: $722MQ4 2016: $917MQ4 2017: $1.1BQ4 2018: $1.5BQ4 2019: $2.1BQ4 2020: $2.6BQ4 2021: $4.3BQ4 2022: $6.3BQ4 2023: $9.7BQ4 2024: --Q4 2025: $530M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$9.7B+53%
Q4 2022$6.3B+46%
Q4 2021$4.3B+63%
Q4 2020$2.6B+24%
Q4 2019$2.1B+37%
Q4 2018$1.5B+36%
Q4 2017$1.1B+24%
Q4 2016$917M+27%

NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.

TKO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $614MQ1 2024: $630MQ2 2024: $851MQ3 2024: $681MQ4 2024: $642MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $614MQ1 2024: $630MQ2 2024: $851MQ3 2024: $681MQ4 2024: $642MQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+21%
Q2 2026$1.5B+18%
Q1 2026$1.6B+26%
Q4 2025$1B+62%
Q3 2025$1.1B+64%
Q2 2025$1.3B+54%
Q1 2025$1.3B+101%
Q4 2024$642.2M+4.6%

TKO has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
Q4 2014: $71MQ4 2015: $79MQ4 2016: $191MQ4 2017: $137MQ4 2018: −$1MQ4 2019: $288MQ4 2020: $97MQ4 2021: −$427MQ4 2022: −$107MQ4 2023: −$246MQ4 2024: −$562MQ4 2025: −$3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025-$3.7B-$3.1B
Q4 2024-$562.1M-$316.2M
Q4 2023-$245.9M-$138.9M
Q4 2022-$107M+$319.7M
Q4 2021-$426.7M-539%
Q4 2020$97.3M-66%
Q4 2019$287.9M+$289.2M
Q4 2018-$1.3M-101%

NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.

TKO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $163MQ2 2025: $396MQ3 2025: $417MQ4 2025: $310MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $374MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $221MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $163MQ2 2025: $396MQ3 2025: $417MQ4 2025: $310MQ1 2026: $695MQ2 2026: $374MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$472.2M+13%
Q2 2026$373.9M-5.6%
Q1 2026$694.5M+327%
Q4 2025$309.9M+445%
Q3 2025$416.8M+76%
Q2 2025$396.2M+72%
Q1 2025$162.8M+174%
Q4 2024$56.8M-74%

TKO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2021: $1.9B over the past year, up 79% from the year before.

NBIS Total Shares

Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
Q4 2014: 326MQ4 2015: 324MQ4 2016: 326MQ4 2017: 331MQ4 2018: 335MQ4 2019: 335MQ4 2020: 353MQ4 2021: 362MQ4 2022: 377MQ4 2023: 373MQ4 2024: 281MQ4 2025: 248M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-12%-33.3M shares
1 year-32%-115M shares
3 years-26%-86.9M shares

NBIS has 248M diluted shares, down 32% from a year ago.

TKO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 172MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 172MQ4 2024: 172MQ1 2025: 182MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 194MQ1 2026: 195MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.3%-1.7M shares
1 year-63%-125M shares
3 years-11%-9M shares
5 years-12%-10.1M shares

TKO has the edge over NBIS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NBIS Net Leverage

Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
Q4 2022: -0.7xQ4 2023: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20230.7xVery low
Q4 2022-0.7xNet Cash

NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TKO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 7.2xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.2xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20252.1xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

TKO's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

NBIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TKO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic56.1Neutral

TKO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNBISSector medianRelative
PE390x16x2,264% above
PE %622438 pts above

NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

TKO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTKOSector medianRelative
PE52x16x217% above
PE %72417 pts below

TKO has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$179.728% below
20 week MA$199.936% below
50 week MA$163.521% below
100 week MA$110.017% above

TKO has stronger trend alignment. NBIS is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus TKO above 3 of 4.

TKO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$181.37% above
20 week MA$185.44.7% above
50 week MA$195.00.5% below
100 week MA$181.56.9% above

TKO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 6.9% above its 100-week average.

NBIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$19.6$27.3+40%
2025$27.3$87.6+221%
2026 YTD$87.6$128.6+47%

NBIS has the edge over TKO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TKO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$98.1$81.6-17%
2024$81.6$144.0+77%
2025$144.0$217.4+51%
2026 YTD$217.4$194.1-11%

TKO has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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