NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
NAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over NAT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
NAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.1x | $4.10 | -39% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $6.72 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $6.51 | -3.1% |
| Current | 12x | $6.72 | — |
| Expensive | 52x | $30.15 | +349% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NAT's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.7x.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Decline | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect NAT's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over NAT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
NAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.69 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.58 | +867% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.26 | +53% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.06 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | -97% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.06 | -79% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.17 | -47% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.22 | -53% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.29 | -48% |
NAT has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
NAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $104.7M | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.5M | +64% |
| Q4 2025 | $85.9M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $75M | -8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $66.7M | -32% |
| Q1 2025 | $64.8M | -32% |
| Q4 2024 | $74.4M | +26% |
| Q3 2024 | $82.2M | +4.8% |
NAT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $105M last quarter, up 57% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +39 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +34 points |
| Q4 2025 | 24% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.1% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7% | -29 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -22 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | -30 points |
| Q3 2024 | 20% | +1.3 points |
NAT has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over NAT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $68.8M | +$202.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $29.7M | +$30.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $14.7M | -24% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.9M | -89% |
| Q2 2025 | -$134M | -534% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.1M | -103% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.4M | +$79.2M |
| Q3 2024 | $34.4M | +28% |
NAT has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
NAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +3M shares |
| 5 years | +36% | +56.2M shares |
| Available history | +49% | +69.4M shares |
NAT has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NAT hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
NAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
NAT's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.8 | Neutral |
NAT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
NAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | NAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 24x | 52% below |
| PE % | 54 | 58 | 4 pts below |
NAT is trading at 12x earnings, a 52% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $7.68 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.12 | 5.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $5.81 | 16% above |
| 100 week MA | $4.34 | 55% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.10 | 64% above |
NAT has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
NAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.82 | $3.16 | -34% |
| 2021 | $3.16 | $1.79 | -43% |
| 2022 | $1.79 | $3.18 | +78% |
| 2023 | $3.18 | $4.20 | +32% |
| 2024 | $4.20 | $2.47 | -41% |
| 2025 | $2.47 | $3.43 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.43 | $6.72 | +96% |
NAT has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.