NAT

Nordic American Tankers Limited

59
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NAT's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

NAT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

NAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NAT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE176x351x527x703x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE176x351x527x703x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$4.10-39%
Forward9.7x$6.72—
Fair11x$6.51-3.1%
Current12x$6.72—
Expensive52x$30.15+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NAT's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.7x.

NAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect NAT's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

NAT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$8.01
Downside-28%$4.87

Calculated from the latest close: $6.72 on Nov 12.

NAT's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −28% against +19%.

NAT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.56Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.22Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.26Q2 2026: $0.58Forward: $0.69
Q3 2023: $0.56Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.32Q2 2024: $0.29Q3 2024: $0.29Q4 2024: $0.22Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.06Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.26Q2 2026: $0.58Forward: $0.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.69+20%
Q2 2026$0.58+867%
Q1 2026$0.26+53%
Q4 2025$0.06-73%
Q3 2025$0.01-97%
Q2 2025$0.06-79%
Q1 2025$0.17-47%
Q4 2024$0.22-53%
Q3 2024$0.29-48%

NAT earned $0.58 per share over the past year, about 10 times what it earned the year before.

NAT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $78MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $65MQ2 2025: $67MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $105M
Q3 2023: $78MQ4 2023: $59MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $98MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $74MQ1 2025: $65MQ2 2025: $67MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $106MQ2 2026: $105M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$104.7M+57%
Q1 2026$106.5M+64%
Q4 2025$85.9M+15%
Q3 2025$75M-8.8%
Q2 2025$66.7M-32%
Q1 2025$64.8M-32%
Q4 2024$74.4M+26%
Q3 2024$82.2M+4.8%

NAT's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $105M last quarter, up 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

NAT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $27MQ4 2023: −$60MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$134MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $69M
Q3 2023: $27MQ4 2023: −$60MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$134MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$68.8M+$202.8M
Q1 2026$29.7M+$30.9M
Q4 2025$14.7M-24%
Q3 2025$3.9M-89%
Q2 2025-$134M-534%
Q1 2025-$1.1M-103%
Q4 2024$19.4M+$79.2M
Q3 2024$34.4M+28%

NAT's free cash flow has turned positive again: $117M over the past year, against −$81M the year before.

NAT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 209MQ4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 209MQ4 2024: 211MQ1 2025: 212MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 212MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 212MQ2 2026: 212M
Q3 2023: 209MQ4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 209MQ2 2024: 209MQ3 2024: 209MQ4 2024: 211MQ1 2025: 212MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 212MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 212MQ2 2026: 212M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+1.4%+3M shares
5 years+36%+56.2M shares
Available history+49%+69.4M shares

NAT has 212M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NAT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.0xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.5x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.0xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.9xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.9xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20252.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy

NAT's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

NAT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.1Neutral
Stochastic37.8Neutral

NAT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

NAT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricNATSector medianRelative
PE12x24x52% below
PE %54584 pts below

NAT is trading at 12x earnings, a 52% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

NAT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.6813% below
20 week MA$7.125.6% below
50 week MA$5.8116% above
100 week MA$4.3455% above
200 week MA$4.1064% above

NAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 64% above its 200-week average.

NAT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.82$3.16-34%
2021$3.16$1.79-43%
2022$1.79$3.18+78%
2023$3.18$4.20+32%
2024$4.20$2.47-41%
2025$2.47$3.43+39%
2026 YTD$3.43$6.72+96%

NAT is up 96% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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